[Vince Ferrer]

I am not a Malthus supporter, he has been effectively refuted. But I am not extrapolating an infinite projection of growth either, and do think a population collapse is getting more likely. But unlike peak oil people or other such neoMathusians, the decline is not lead by resource scarcity. The decline will happen despite resource availability, which makes it even more hard to predict or explain.

Declining population, and as a result of that, a declining economy, for the next hundred years is getting more likely. In fact, most industrialized nation's births are already below replacement level, and the developing world is not far behind. At some point in the near future, the chief problem every country may face will be how to get the birth rate up.

[Lorianne]

The article doesn’t talk about population. It discusses many other things but primarily focusses on lack of capital formation and over reliance on debt in its place.