This would be a huge win. Sink was predicted to win - led in every poll.
This district has a lot of Hispanics and from what I saw while recently in Tampa , a good many blacks. Both candidates were running many TV ads. Jolly’s were firmly focused on ‘Sink helped give us Obama care. She has to go.’. Sink’s were basically that Ocare is good for ‘the people’ and Jolly was a bad ‘rich man’ who even wants to explore Social Security privatization. Considering the ethnic mix and the conventional wisdom that the 65 plus set in Florida are paranoidically stupid about doing anything ever to change Social Insecurity this really is a pretty big win. It seems to indicate that the 65 plus types are more afraid of Ocare than potential changes to SS sometime off in the future. Also ‘minorities’ normally don't turn out as much in the off year elections. Those two things being said it may auger a real debacle for the Dems this November. People like Miss Piggy in Louisiana are probably finished.