So, we should not honor our Security Assurances (plural) to the Ukraine, in which we promised our protection in return for Ukraine sending its 5000 nukes to Russia for destruction?
The signal that sends guarantees a global nuclear arms race and that in turn virtually guarantees a nuclear war down the line. Few have learned the lessons of the 1930’s - 1940’s, but this time it’s with nukes.
we should only if its in our interest, and the assurances are not a treaty. they were a memorandum.
Does anyone on FR know of any reputable studies as to the radiation effects of a medium scale (say, 100 nukes involved) nuclear exchange? I believe I can reasonably estimate the effects of, say, a Taiwan / China exchange, or a Saudi / Iranian exchange, of that magnitude, but would really like to hear it from an expert. Most analysis I’ve seen was either for a single bomb, or a catastrophic “nuclear winter” type Russia / US war.
Obviously, the location of the dust-up and the prevailing winds would be crucial, but maybe the safest analysis from the US standpoint would be to assume “worst case” winds from Eastern Asia, over the Pacific. Say, a “nuclear pineapple express.”