Well...polling in the 30s is not beating anyone because the other candidate is polling lower in the 30s. He would also have to be able to define himself first, and he hasn’t had a great deal of fundraising success to be able to beat back a barrage of ads from the Democrats defining him first. Given the totally incompetent way he has run his campaign against McConnell, I would have no confidence in him being able to counter this and get out front of it. McConnell was definitely vulnerable in this primary, but I haven’t thought that now for a few months and Bevin is still running pitiful ads. Plus, there are other candidates on the ballot so the purely negative ads will simply split opposition while helping to build his negatives with the general public. Right now this is looking like a no-win situation. The only thing either McConnell or Bevin will have going for them is the fact that right now, it looks like the environment will be much more favorable for Republicans and their opponent will be a Democrat in a state inclined to elect Republicans over Democrats for Federal office.
Well, I’m not writing off Grimes just yet. Polls, that were posted here on this website, indicate that Grimes would defeat McConnell but, she would lose to Bevin. And, if Grimes does defeat McConnell in the General Election, it will NOT be a tragedy. I predict we will take 9 Senate seats from the Dems. (AK, AR, CO, LA, MI, MT, NC, SD and WV.) We won’t need Mitch’s seat. And the best part, there will be an election for the Senate majority Leader, and Mitch won’t be there, so there will be NO heir apparent. And Cornyn is not a shoo-in. So, with the power-hungry egos those guys have, I guarantee you, there will be race for the SML post.
Going to bed. Goodnight.
Bevin or any Conservative could win the Primary against a RINO if in the last 2-3 weeks of the election, he started running radio ads and mailers stating he supports the 2nd Amendment and wants to stop government funding of Illegal aliens. Maybe add some pro Christian info, also. The campaign would have to be late in the game so the media can’t come after him as a crazy gun-slinging racist. In each ad, he would have to ask people who agree with him to bring their friends to the polls.