I remember not long ago when John Zogby was the polling superstar of the late 90s and early 2000s until his disastrous prediction of the 2004 race. It remains to be seen how long Nate Silvers streak will continue...His math is pretty good. Me, I'll be giving him about 6 more years before I use him as my main indicator. Seasoning. See how those models do over time.
“....President Obama’s convincing victory in 2012.”
I missed that one. He won by a smaller margin than last time against a guy who threw the thing.