It doesn’t make sense for Russia to keep 80,000 troops massed on Ukraine’s border for too long. However, from Russia’s perspective, Friday evening is probably the worst time of the week to mount a big invasion, since global markets have closed for the weekend.
Would Vladimir’s friends at Gazprom ever forgive him if he didn’t schedule his invasion to create the greatest global buying panic in the oil and gas sectors possible?
Sunday afternoon would be ideal. First, the troops can surge over the line, creating a fog of war confusing enough to make Russian-instigated rumors of vital pipeline shutdowns credible, first to Asian investors, then on to frantic Europeans and Americans continually bidding up prices as the crisis builds.
As Russian oligarch Rahminov Emanuelsky once advised, never let a crisis go to waste that can result in a windfall of petrodollars for Mother Russia.
He must be channeling Rahm Emmanuel.