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We Told You We'd Be Talking About Inflation...
BI ^ | 5-27-2014 | Joe Weisenthal

Posted on 05/27/2014 6:08:21 AM PDT by blam

Joe Weisenthal
May 26, 2014, 11:11 AM

At the end of last year, we wrote a post titled: Pretty Soon We Need To Talk About Inflation.

The argument was not that inflation was going to be a problem, or that the Fed needed to tighten rates, or anything like that.

It simply pointed out that since the crisis, there's been no legitimate reason to even be discussing inflation, since there wasn't any. But that that was about to change.

And indeed, here in 2014, there are indeed a lot of people talking about inflation.

Morgan Stanley's Vincent Reinhart writes in a recent note:

Our analysis also suggests that we’ve passed the lows and will see a gradual inflection higher in core inflation back towards the Fed's 2% target through 2015. Since the fall of 2012, the Fed has been communicating that the appropriate timing for the first rate hike will be around mid-2015. That expectation has been predicated on the assumption that inflation will move gradually, and convincingly, toward its 2% goal. The fact that we are likely on the cusp of seeing the Fed's expectation for inflation play out should have no bearing on the FOMC's forward guidance - a forecast coming true is not a reason to change the forecast.

Last Thursday, Wells Fargo wrote:

The debate over how much slack remains in the labor market is heating up within the FOMC. Where participants’ views currently lie and how they evolve in the coming months will shape members’ outlooks for the two sides of the Fed’s mandate and, by default, the timing of when to raise interest rates. Fed Chair Janet Yellen has emphasized a range of data indicative of labor market slack beyond the traditional measure of the unemployment rate.

(snip)

(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: economy; fed; inflation; prices
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To: tiki

Okay so the Pharoah brought the curses and plagues against this country and the economic policies and the regulatory environment he created heavily contributed to inlation it but he had nothing to do with any if this. Sure. Okayyy....are you Jay Carney incognito?


21 posted on 05/27/2014 7:39:50 AM PDT by jsanders2001
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To: blam

That great chart of yours indicates Silver is about correct (ie the same) at $20/oz give or take. However, if you assume an ounce of gold was $20 in 1870 or even 1918 then that would mean $400/oz today. So either there is upside on silver or Gold is overpriced. Think it’s time to buy more silver.


22 posted on 05/27/2014 7:40:03 AM PDT by reed13k (For evil to triumph it is only necessary for good men to do nothings)
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To: grania

Debt Free is good.

But the inflation is eating away at your savings. So why is that a good thing?

If we had moderate/high inflation wouldn’t you want to borrow money and have little savings?


23 posted on 05/27/2014 7:40:29 AM PDT by crusher2013
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To: jsanders2001

^ in jest...


24 posted on 05/27/2014 7:41:04 AM PDT by jsanders2001
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To: reed13k
So either there is upside on silver or Gold is overpriced.


25 posted on 05/27/2014 7:42:23 AM PDT by Wyatt's Torch
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To: crusher2013
but the inflation is eating away at your savings. So why is it a good thing?

I'm in the same predicament as most seniors I know. It's the lack of interest paid on our savings that's eroding our savings.

The other thing that's hurting is all of the fees and increases in utility costs, because of "improvements" and government enviornmental "upgrades" and other such nonsense.

26 posted on 05/27/2014 7:48:12 AM PDT by grania
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To: Wyatt's Torch

A 2% decline over 3 days isn’t the range of the overpricing I was referring to. To correspond with a $20 gold piece from the time frame in question it would need to plummet to about $400/oz. I could see 800-1000, but don’t see it dropping to $400 again in the near future.


27 posted on 05/27/2014 9:13:55 AM PDT by reed13k (For evil to triumph it is only necessary for good men to do nothings)
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To: jsanders2001

Well, I’m pretty sure it wouldn’t matter who was president at this time the food situation would be no different.

To make matters better we’d have to go back to a time long before Obama and not remove hundreds of thousands of cattle from the US Forests and not put hundreds of thousands of acres in Wilderness Study Areas or reduce cattle numbers on Federal Land.

These things didn’t happen overnight, we fought but we lost and now the consumer is paying the price. The forests have turned into quagmires waiting to burn. The trash trees and brush have taken over so nothing is healthy.

I lay a lot at Obama’s door and it is people like him who gave us the crap regulations we have now and I have no doubt that if they weren’t already there he’d put out another EO but the chickens are only coming to roost on his watch.


28 posted on 05/27/2014 11:09:43 AM PDT by tiki
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To: reed13k
Long way for a $400 decline but this is the lowest since February and down 9%:


29 posted on 05/27/2014 11:29:20 AM PDT by Wyatt's Torch
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