Here’s the predictions on Eagle Ford which also show something roughly like 100,000 barrel @ day increases for 2016-2020—depending on how much of the production increases are front loaded onto 2014-15.
so reasonable estimates for oil production growth per day for out years 2016-2020 look something like
bakken 100,000 barrels @ day annual increase
eagle ford 100,000 barrels @ day annual increase
gulf of Mexico 100,000 barrels @ day annual increase
permian basin ?75,000 barrels @ day annual increase
everywhere else 75,000 barrels @ day annual increase
That make for a total wild hair estimate of about 450,000 barrel @ day annual increase for out years 2016-2020.
That’s slower than 1 million barrels @ day increases but still not too shabby.
The permian basin there is the wildest hair because that number could easily break upward significantly
I would like to see any additions or correction to those estimates.