They’re not my cards to play.
Maybe a false-flag operation from Putin—after all, Russia is energy self-sufficient.
Or, if the Caliphate really gets going, an Israeli “Samson Option” operation.
Plausible deniability is everything. It would be a record-setting whodunit; with short-term historical truth determined by propaganda.
Nuking Mecca would do nothing but enrage the savages. Nuking Medina would strike terror in their hearts.