[ckilmer]

for possibly greater cold fluctuations rougly between 3 and 9 years from now with further adjustments in clothing,
..................
US oil production this year and next will go up a million barrels@ day and so far predictions are for 500k barrel @ day increases for 2016-2020. I don’t think this will break the price of oil because demand for oil is high and going higher overseas. The USA and Canada are the only producers increasing oil production. Everywhere else in the world is flat to down.

but sometime after 2020 likely increasing use of natural gas trains trucks cars and buildings —plus electric cars if Tesla forces the worlds car companies to shift production to electric cars as seems more and more likely given the intense talk in the automobile industry — ... these will suck out the demand for oil so that by 2030 oil prices will be about 1/3 of what they are today. or about $35@ barrel which on a btu basis is where natural gas and coal are today — and where oil was from 1940-1970 ... priced in 2014 dollars.

[familyop]

"...plus electric cars if Tesla forces the worlds car companies to shift production to electric cars as seems more and more likely given the intense talk in the automobile industry..."

That will be great with lithium-ion batteries for areas with year-round temperatures between 14 and 86, Fahrenheit or with needed additional equipment. Chinese battery charging, heating and cooling equipment investments should do very well.

I see temperatures down to the minus-30s, Fahrenheit, and winds up to about 110 mph during winters, but like most lowtechs, I'll continue to have good transportation regardless of bipartisan, socialist, regulatory bowel movements.