Posted on 07/28/2014 9:25:33 AM PDT by kristinn
This will be an interesting month for observing folks with flu symptoms in Nigeria.
When ebola was a 90% mort rate bug, it didn’t travel well, and often burned out in a tight ring of death around it’s origination point.
When and if it mutates into a 20% mort rate bug and is a little tougher, able to ride on a sneeze, we’re going to have a REAL BIG PROBLEM.
People get packed pretty close in at that airport, too.
-PJ
I’ve wondered about mosquito or other biting insect transmission as well. Perhaps the pool of infected human blood hasn’t been large enough, yet, to facilitate its transmission by insect.
Or maybe mosquito transmissions have been missed, the sick/dead done in by a wrongly diagnosed vector?
I’ve wondered how the US physician was infected.
Either he got tired, which is entirely possible given the circumstances, and made a mistake. Or someone tasked with decontamination made a mistake. Or he had transmission via a previously unknown vector.
I’m leaning the first or second one. For now.
Dr. Kent Brantly is still alive. Patrick Sawyer collapsed at the Lagos airport after debarking a flight that also stopped in Togo.
http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2014/07/28/ebola-potential-to-spread/13267909/
Yet while Ebola is a fearsome disease, the virus “would not pose a major public health risk” in the USA, Osterholm says.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2014_West_Africa_Ebola_outbreak
Scroll for infection numbers. Note the inflection point in late April/early May. That’s roughly when rainy season begins there. Also known as mosquito season...
or, he was targeted by someone who either had a beef with him OR someone trying to spread the disease and panic the world...
Ugly stuff regardless.
BTW, the US physician’s BIL was due to get married this coming weekend. The doc’s family had already arrived back in country to help. If his symptoms had been delayed just a few more days he could have exposed everyone at the wedding.
Scary thought.
I am thinking of all the passengers on the plane. The one who had the guy on it that collapsed inside the airport after he got off.
Did they get to all those people that were on the plane or did they disperse and get on other planes?
Did any fly to Mexico? Are there people with this scary ass disease walking North toward our borders right now?
Oh yeah, those too.
Scary scary scary.
Here’s a link that will inspire ‘confidence’ that the situation is completely in control:
http://www.mydailynewswatchng.com/ebola-victims-death-fg-lagos-launch-manhunt-co-passengers/
“According to sources in the Federal Ministry of Health, the Nigerian co-passengers of the late Ebola victim were supposed to be quarantined for thorough investigations, based on an order placed by the Federal Government, but no sooner had the news broken out, than the suspected victims of the deadly virus took to their heels, after having been contacted by officials of the ministry.
This prompted the Federal Government, in conjunction with the authorities in Lagos, to take the latest action and launch the manhunt, categorising the alleged escapees as fugitives.
Further investigations by Sunday Newswatch revealed that among them are two notable Nigerians, who live on a street in a vicinity categorised among the upper-end areas in Lagos.”
Ping...
He has diplomatic immunity...
Bring Out Your Dead
Post to me or FReep mail to be on/off the Bring Out Your Dead ping list.
The purpose of the Bring Out Your Dead ping list (formerly the Ebola ping list) is very early warning of emerging pandemics, as such it has a high false positive rate.
So far the false positive rate is 100%.
At some point we may well have a high mortality pandemic, and likely as not the Bring Out Your Dead threads will miss the beginning entirely.
*sigh* Such is life, and death...
Lord this gets worse and worse. As always, thanks for the ping!
He has diplomatic immunity...
***
Good one!
I think that Obama and his entire cabinet should visit this man as a show of compassion.
Yikes! Now, you are really scaring me, Agnes. Prayers up.
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