Posted on 07/30/2014 6:27:11 PM PDT by ClaytonP
A longtime defense analyst and critic of the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter program says taxpayers next year will pay between $148 million and $337 million per jet, depending on the model.
Winslow Wheeler, a staff member at the Project On Government Oversight who has worked on national-security issues for the Senate and the Government Accountability Office, detailed his cost estimates for the Lockheed Martin Corp.-made fifth-generation stealth fighter in a recent article on Medium.com.
Wheeler puts the per-plane production price tag at $148 million for the Air Forces F-35A, which can take off and land on conventional runways; $251 million for the Marine Corps F-35B, which can fly like a plane and hover and land like a helicopter; and $337 million for the Navys F-35C, which can take off and land on aircraft carriers. The average cost for all three variants is $178 million, he wrote.
This data is the empirical, real-world costs to buy, but not to test or develop, an F-35 in 2015, he wrote. They should be understood to be the actual purchase price for 2015what the Pentagon will have to pay to have an operative F-35.
Wheeler derived the estimates using recent figures from the Senate Appropriations Committee. The figures dont include research and development costs, but do include funding from the previous years appropriations act for advance procurement and from aircraft modifications.
Wheeler rejects the use of an aircrafts so-called flyaway cost to describe its true expense because, he wrote, those airplanes are incapable of operative flight. They lack the specialized tools, simulators, logistics computers and much, much more to make the airplane usable. They even lack the fuel to fly away.
Michael Rein, a spokesman for Bethesda, Maryland-based Lockheeds F-35 program, didnt immediately return an e-mail seeking comment to the article.
Joe DellaVedova, a spokesman for the Pentagons F-35 program office, disputed Wheelers estimates, saying theyre misleading and dont reflect what the department contracts for the planes.
Under the most recent production contract with Lockheed, the department in 2013 agreed to pay $112 million per F-35A, $139 million per F-35B and $130 million per F-35C, DellaVedova said. Those figures, known as unit recurring flyaway costs, include the airframe, engine, mission systems, profit and concurrency, he said.
The government has also shifted from bearing all the financial risk in the program to sharing it with Lockheed and Pratt & Whitney, which makes the F135 engine for the single-engine fighter, DellaVedova said in an e-mail. The contractors now cover 100 percent of any cost overruns and 50 percent of concurrency costs, he said.
Affordability is the No. 1 priority for the F-35 program, he said. You can have the best airplane in the world, but if nobody can afford it, it does you no good. We are doing all we can to drive prices down and we are making a difference.
Kevin Brancato, a senior defense analyst at Bloomberg Government, said in an e-mail that Wheelers estimates appear to be correct, but emphasized that the vast majority of the differences between the unit cost of the variants in fiscal 2015 is due to spreading nonrecurring and support costs over fewer aircraft.
Nonrecurring costs include production tooling, money for buying out parts that will be difficult to source later and money for cost-reduction initiatives, while support costs pay for engineering related to production, he said.
The Navys C variant will be far more expensive in FY15 than the other variants because the Navy will pay $170 million in nonrecurring costs and $247 million in support costs while buying only two aircraft, Brancato said. Thats $416 million in total, or $208 million per jet, before the cost of airframes, electronics and engines.
In contrast, the nonrecurring and support costs are $78 million for each Marine Corps B variant, and just $37 million for each Air Force A variant, he said. For fiscal 2015, the Marines requested six jets and the Air Force requested 26.
Meanwhile, recurring unit production costs the airframes, electronics and engines will continue to decline for the F-35A and F-35B, Brancato said. For the F-35C, the number being built will drop to two from four, which will drive up the cost of the airframe, yet the cost of the electronics and engines will still go down, he said.
The Joint Strike Fighter is the Pentagons most expensive weapons acquisition program, estimated to cost a total of $398.6 billion for a total of 2,457 aircraft. That breaks down to a per-plane cost of $162 million, including research and development.
The Pentagon in its budget for fiscal 2015, which begins Oct. 1, requested $8.3 billion for 34 of the aircraft, including 26 F-35As, 6 F-35Bs and 2 F-35Cs. The House Appropriations Committee voted to buy an additional four aircraft, for a total of 38, while the Senate panel agreed with the Pentagons request a difference that will have to be resolved in conference negotiations.
The fighter jet missed its highly hyped international debut in the United Kingdom earlier this month. It was scheduled to appear for the first time at three events in the U.K., culminating with a flight demonstration at the Farnborough International Air Show outside London. But the aircraft was a no-show after an engine fire in one of the planes resulted in a fleet-wide grounding and subsequent flight restrictions.
Farther away than you think.
I notice the typical liberal hypocrisy with current Pentagon budgets. They moan about DoD spending, but look who is funding projects like the F-35, two LCS designs, etc, and who is getting rich off of all of it.
Yep, a cloud of black smoke followed the F-4 everywhere.
I remember watching the F-4s at Eglin back in the 60s and 70s. You could always find them just by following the black trails, sort of like the broom the Wicked Witch of the West flew.
Didn’t they eventually replace those engines which smoked so much?
I was always wondering if they could replace the skin with lighter composites and radar absorbing material and kept them active?
You are right though, more fuel efficient engines, new computers and stuff would have also been needed. Maybe it was easier to build new planes
Last I heard the 15C has never been defeated air to air. Real life that is, not exercises.
I thought it was closer to $200 million, but your point stands.
I saw a picture of one an Israeli pilot landed with a wing missing from and air to air collision. The way he managed is the root of the wing also had a lot of lift.
Still an amazing feat.
But let's not drag up that old story of him wet-starting his plane as a practical joke on the guy behind him ... which cooked off the guy behind's Zuni rockets, which punctured John's fuel tanks, causing him to dump his bomb ordinance into the fire and scamper away across the tightly packed planes to safety (on film).
The crew was so pissed off at him that he had to be immediately transferred.. Great guy. What's one heavily damaged carrier and 295 casualties, including 134 KIA when compared to a fabulous practical joke?
A camel is a horse designed by committee.
The f35 was doomed the second a general got his finger in the pie.
BFL
I think we’d do better with more F-16’s and F-18’s and for God’s sake, bring back the F-14! I’m also a big fan of an upgraded F-4 and one of my fave, the F-5 and F-20. The F-15 Silent Eagle is a good plane too.
It's OK for me to mystified, because that does not cost a lot of money. What ain't OK, if Pierre is to be believed, is that those whom the whimsical gods hath placed above us in the food chain are also mystified to the tune of many many billions..
A friend said the F-35 was a “grape”. You squeeze it twice and it’s all out of juice. The F-105 was a better strike fighter.
need more f-22 /cowbell
and update the f-15s to f-15se’s and do the same stealth updates/on the f-16s and f-18s.
Interesting! I wonder what the actual “real cost” is to produce this plane. Having previously been involved with the manufacture of automobiles, I know there are sooo many inflated costs, no one can tell what the “actual” cost really was/is. Same goes for these aircrafts.
(Obviously much of these costs are labor)
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