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To: trebb

This runs into a different problem for Ebola. From onset of symptoms and ability to infect others, to death is typically only 10 days.

“Signs and symptoms of Ebola usually begin abruptly with an influenza-like stage characterized by feeling tired, fever, headaches, and joint, muscle, and abdominal pain. Vomiting, diarrhea and loss of appetite are also common. Less common symptoms include: sore throat, chest pain, hiccups, shortness of breath and trouble swallowing.

“Skin manifestations may include a maculopapular rash (in about 50% of cases). Early symptoms of EVD may be similar to those of malaria, dengue fever, or other tropical fevers, before the disease progresses to the bleeding (hemorrhagic) phase.”

Importantly, from the 10 day symptoms to mortality, you need to subtract the bleeding and incapacitation days, as unless people congregate around them, and they do not receive any medical attention, they are far less likely to transmit the disease.

Then consider active medical pursuit and effort to isolate anyone who is infected, and there is a fairly small window for others to be infected, and yet escape medical quarantine.


20 posted on 08/03/2014 8:53:12 AM PDT by yefragetuwrabrumuy ("Don't compare me to the almighty, compare me to the alternative." -Obama, 09-24-11)
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To: yefragetuwrabrumuy
Hope you are correct - heard about one person evading "capture" for awhile - hope it isn't a recurrent theme.

Not shaking in my boots at this time, but it has the potential to continue into new ground.

21 posted on 08/03/2014 9:01:28 AM PDT by trebb (Where in the the hell has my country gone?)
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