I don’t think so. The Dim base is also large and more highly motivated than usual. Quite frankly, I think we are only going to see some movement around the edges. What worries me is 2016.
This can be seen as the media hedging it’s bets. They know the GOP will gain seats, they think the GOP may get a majority, but they peg it as a slight one so they don’t lose face if either the GOP wins big, or the Dems win narrowly.
The real polls are being conducted by the WH’s and Dem’s in house pollsters. We’re seeing the reaction to those in the panicked cries about impeachment, etc. I’m guessing the GOP (unless they completely blow it) gets to 53 or 54 seats. 56 (net gain of 11) is actually a decent, if stretch, prospect.
If the GOP can’t make material gains in 14, 2016 is going to be an epic disaster.
Nope.