I would really like to see the internals of this poll.
The last two Marquette Law School polls oversampled democrats and had similar results.
If they are using 2012 turnout models, this isn’t even close to reality. IMHO, the Sheriff Clarke victory showed that the GOP is more motivated in Wisconsin.
The democrats also do not have the OFA machine this year. They had a huge, computerized operation to drag every potential dem voter to the polls in 2012. In 2012, the local operation was large and very well funded. This year, they have a storefront and have had trouble getting candidates.
I don't under-estimate how organized they are...
Go here: http://neworganizing.com/
We don't have an "Org" like this and it doesn't look like any deep pocket people on our side of the isle are gonna get one up and running...
Beck warned us the organized were getting organized, and we are left with our fingers in our ears...