Ernst will probably win because Braley is a poor candidate and lacks Harkin’s appeal to eastern Iowa Catholics.
Here’s an example of how botched the campaign against Braley is. Everyone’s heard of his insults to Iowa famers, but just before that, he said to a group of Texas lawyers, “[I]f you help me win this race you may have someone with your background, your experience, your voice, someone who’s been literally fighting tort reform for thirty years, in a visible or public way, on the Senate Judiciary Committee.”
That damning statement has been left completely unexploited by the Ernst campaign. And he claims to have already cut a deal to get a Judiciary seat! What did he give up to get that deal?
And he claims to have already cut a deal to get a Judiciary seat! What did he give up to get that deal?
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Who did Braley cut a deal with for a Judiciary seat? Surely not Joni Ernst.