I don’t see how you can find Landrieu winning Louisiana. She’s in trouble, and has been for some time.
The way of the South is to vote Republican. Only a few dems are left in office. Landrieu is gonna be another dem who lost in a Southern state due to this trend.
Now, will it take a runoff to put Landrieu out to pasture? Perhaps. The last poll had Landrieu at 36%, Cassidy at 32 and Mannes at 4. However, the same poll has a head-to-head between Landrieu and Cassidy at Cassidy 47% and Landrieu 41%.
I don’t think she can win unless her number comes up to at least 46%. She’s in a very deep hole.
The day I saw the pic of her manning the beer keg spout at the LSU tailgate party, I knew your statement was true.
Those kind of tactics don't fare well with North Lousiana Baptists, say anywhere north of Ville Platte.
I agree Landrieu is in trouble. But, consider the following:
1. Bill Cassidy is not an exciting candidate and has “Moderate Republican” leanings. He’s a RINO with a phony smile, no fire in his belly and no clear distinction of issues between her and him.
2. The Dem ground game is unbelievable. Remember 2012. Romney had huge crowds; Obama had small crowds. But, the crowds showed up on Election Day. Some people had to stand in line for 3 hours to vote.
3. The Landrieu name and machine is still powerful in LA. Many Republicans (RINOs) are supporting Mary Landrieu.
4. The local, Good Ol’ Boy networks, that can help pull their preferred candidate to victory in a close Election, have carried over from the Huey Long days, are still alive and well in LA. And they are not Republicans
I grew up, in Texas, a stone’s throw from LA. I live 15 miles from LA today. I know LA politics and I’m not counting her out until the final votes are counted. Just saying.