.
She will do much better than that in the runoff.
Don't ignore the impact of the unhappy Maness voters, the "Teach the GOPe a Lesson Crowd". They should add to the Republicn vote but many of them will just sit this one out. Plus the fraud will probably break records. She will not lose by worse than 53 to 47 and could still win.
No, the Maness voters will not sit it out, they want her gone.