Keep in mind that RCP’s model only averages the polls
and has no consideration for trends or momentum.
Agree. I was referring to this map
Which seems to fly in the face of RCP averages which put it in the margin of error.. With the shifting away from Hagen and now this step of hers, I can only imagine things will get even better for Tillis
This race has been rather static at Hagan at about +3. There hasn’t been much momentum either way except that both candidates have terrible favorables thanks to all the mud being thrown at each other.
The Republicans really don’t need NC. It’s probably seat No. 54 right now with NH being 55 and about all the Republicans can get this cycle.