Remember that we need 270 EV to win. Dems start out with a huge advantage of 237 EV to the GOP’s 181 EVs. We need to win 89 EVs while they only need 33.
We need a candidate that will that can win Ohio, Virginia and Florida, plus Wisconsin. That just gets us to 276.Lose Florida and it gets even harder. That’s why Jeb looks so attractive.
I’d like to see a Walker/Rubio ticket. You then get Florida and Wisconsin from the start. That’s 245 with just 25 EVs to the win. Grab VA and you’re just 12 EVs away.
I used all the 2012 numbers, but without Obama you won’t see black numbers that high, nor Latinos.
It’s all about the Electoral College. Which candidate combo can win it. That’s why Cruz is out of the running from day one.
Don’t forget about Texas, I believe they moved their primary to early March.
Lose Florida and it is impossible.
I've been playing around with the map over at 270towin.com looking at current and past elections and it isn't pretty. A lot of blue states are going to stay blue no matter what.
I sometimes wonder if down the road, it will be Republicans fighting to abolish the electoral college and go with a popular vote.
Interesting analysis. Although we should have won Wisconsin in 2012 with Ryan, too.
No point in winning if the “winner” is a Rino.