Clinton Close to Most Republicans in Arizona [Walker leads conservative field, Bush struggles]

Public Policy Polling ^ | May 7, 2015

[Cincinatus' Wife]

".....We also tested Walker against all of the other potential Democratic candidates, and he leads them by wide margins. He's up 15 on both Lincoln Chafee (41/26) and Bernie Sanders (43/28), and 18 on both Martin O'Malley (43/25) and Jim Webb (44/26). Those large deficits are largely a function of the candidates' name recognition- because it's so low, only 53-58% of Democrats even commit to voting for those folks against Walker in a general election. But at any rate Clinton is by far and away the strongest candidate for the general in the Democratic field.

The Republican primary field in Arizona is a jumbled mess, as it is most places, with 5 different candidates polling in double digits but none of them getting more than 16%. Scott Walker leads the way with that 16% followed by Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio at 14%, Rand Paul and Ben Carson at 11%, Ted Cruz at 9%, Chris Christie and Mike Huckabee at 5%, and Rick Perry at 2%.

Walker leads the field thanks to his strong support from voters who identify themselves as 'very conservative.' He gets 32% with Carson, Cruz, and Paul all tying for second back at 11%. Walker is only third with 'somewhat conservative' voters and 8th with moderates, but the strong support on the right gives him the slight overall lead.

Even though Walker's in first place by a negligible amount this poll might be most encouraging for Rubio. His 61% favorability rating is the best in the field by a large margin- Huckabee at 52% has the next best rating. Rubio is also the most frequently named second choice among Republicans in the state- overall 32% of GOP voters say he's their first or second choice with Walker at 29% and Bush at 24%.

The Arizona Republican numbers also continue several other trends we've seen in our recent polling. Chris Christie is extremely unpopular with GOP primary voters- only 22% have a favorable opinion of him to 42% with a negative one. And Jeb Bush continues to struggle with voters identifying themselves as 'very conservative'- he's in 6th place with them for the nomination and has only a 39/38 favorability rating......" Continued

Full results

[outofsalt]

The polls in the UK were spot on. Israel too. /s

[onyx]

Jeb Bush in second place?
Geeeeeeez.

[Yosemitest]

Your PRO-AMNESTY Candidate, Scott Walker, is PROVED to be TALKING OUT OF BOTHS SIDES OF THE ISSUE (you CAN NOT TRUST him).
Watch the videos and READ the article from HOT AIR, most certainly not on your list of band-sources.

... Two points.
One: He says he’s not for amnesty, his citizenship stance notwithstanding, but that’s not a new soundbite for Walker.
“Amnesty” means many things to many people;
to the Gang of Eight, for instance, the fact that illegals would be forced to meet certain requirements (paying back taxes, etc) before qualifying for citizenship meant that their plan wasn’t “amnesty.”
Walker’s been insisting for more than a year that he doesn’t support “amnesty” either
even though he does support citizenship and liberalizing the rules for legal immigration.

Two: He’s quick to tell Raddatz that he’ll lay out his own immigration plan eventually if he becomes a candidate,
which is his way of saying “don’t ask me anything too specific right now.”

Listening to him here, you would think he didn’t have firm opinions on immigration
yet beyond some basic principles like “secure the border.”
But that’s not so.
Watch him field a question on immigration from 2013 in the second clip below
and note what he says about border security at around 1:30.
For Walker, securing the border is less a matter of building a fence or hiring 10,000 new Border Patrol agents than it is about RELAXING THE RULES for legal admission to the U.S.
His view seems to be
that if you want to come here to work, IT SHOULD BE VERY EASY FOR YOU TO DO SO —
easy enough that you wouldn’t even think of crossing the border illegally, as the legal route would be just as simple.
...


Scott Walker Non-Committal on Immigration ( 0:53 ) by National Review

[Rashputin]

Where does Walker stand on the Ted Cruz plan to increase the number of H-1B Visas five fold ?

[Yosemitest]

Source:

WASHINGTON, DC -- U.S. Senator Ted Cruz (R-TX) has filed additional amendments to S. 744 to significantly improve border security measures, fix our immigration system in a manner that champions legal immigration, and uphold the rule of law by ensuring illegal immigrants granted legal status under this bill are not given a path to citizenship.

“I very much want commonsense immigration reform to pass, but if this bill becomes law as currently written, it will not solve the problem. Instead it will make the problem of illegal immigration worse,” Sen. Cruz said. “We must work together in a bipartisan manner to fix this problem in a way that secures the border, improves legal immigration and respects rule of law so we remain a nation that welcomes and celebrates legal immigrants. I look forward to working with my colleagues on these issues and am confident my proposed amendments will effectively address the current problems with this bill.”

Sen. Cruz presented the following amendments:

Cruz 1320: Create border security triggers that can be measured objectively by Congress and provide the resources and capabilities necessary to secure the border

Before any illegal immigrants could be legalized, DHS is required to:

• Triple the number of Border Patrol agents on the southern border;
• Quadruple the cameras, sensors, drones, helicopters, and other technology and infrastructure as appropriate
• Complete all 700 miles of the fencing required by law in the Secure Fence Act of 2006 (Pub, L. 109-367)
• Develop a policy assuring real-time sharing of information among all federal law enforcement agencies regarding illegal border activity
• Complete and fully implement the US-VISIT system, including the biometric entry-exit portion—as Congress has repeatedly mandated – so we will finally know those present in the country after their visa expires
• Establish “operational control” over 100 percent of the southern border.
  • If DHS fails to substantially comply with any of these trigger requirements within 3 years, the salary of all DHS political appointees would be cut by 20 percent and 20 percent of DHS’s budget would be block granted to the states with the full authority to use those funds to secure the border;
  • This amendment is required to be fully offset. Either the appropriations committee must identify offsets, or it will be paid for by an automatic, across the board cut to non-defense spending – an approach supported in the past by many Republicans and the White House.

Unfortunately, the current Gang of 8 bill will not secure the border. It grants legal status for those here illegally when DHS simply drafts a plan for securing the border. And it then grants green cards to those individuals when DHS certifies, in its opinion, that the plan has been substantially completed based on subjective criteria. The bill does not require operational control of the entire border and does not provide the resources necessary to truly secure the border.

Cruz 1321: Prohibit federal, state, or local entitlement benefits for those here illegally

Although the current bill states that illegal immigrants granted status will not be eligible for means-tested welfare benefits, that is true only for federal benefits, and only for a limited amount of time. It fails to place any special limit on public assistance paid to illegal immigrants who receive a green card under this bill. This is both good fiscal policy and ensures that immigrants do not become dependent on government to their own detriment.

Cruz 1322: Ensure that illegal immigrants who are given legal status under this bill are not given a path to citizenship

Providing a path to citizenship undermines the rule of law and is an insult to the millions who have immigrated to the U.S. legally. This Amendment prevents those currently here illegally who are offered legal status under this Act from obtaining citizenship.

The current bill grants three paths to citizenship for those here illegally:

• The generic path for illegal immigrants given status under the Registered Provisional Immigrant (RPI) provision, a 13-year path
• A DREAM Act expedited 5-year path
• A special expedited (8-year) path for agricultural workers, through the new Blue Card program

Cruz 1323: Combines Cruz 1322 and Cruz 1321. Provides that those who are granted legal status under the bill are ineligible for welfare and for citizenship

Cruz 1324: Green Card (LPR) reform to modernize, streamline and expand legal immigration

This amendment would streamline and simplify our legal immigration system by consolidating segmented visas, creating real and transparent caps, eliminating the diversity visa lottery, and treating all immigrants equally by eliminating the per-country caps.

Provisions of his amendment include:

• Doubling the overall worldwide green card caps from 675,000 visas per year to 1.35 million per year (not including refugees and asylees):
  • Employment-based green cards: Consolidates the 5 existing employment-based visas into a single high-skilled employment-based visa.
  • Family-based green cards: Creates a single family-based visa category that treats all immigrant families equally by redefining “immediate relatives” as “spouses, minor children, and parents of citizens or LPRs.”
• Treating immigrants from all countries equally by eliminating the diversity visa program and the per-country visa caps: Currently, immigrants of identical skill may experience drastically different wait times and burdens based merely on their country of origin. Not only is this inequitable, it hurts our ability to attract the best and brightest.
• Reducing bureaucracy: Creates a user-friendly online portal where visa applicants can apply and obtain updates on their application.

Cruz 1325: Increase high-skilled temporary worker visas (H-1B visas) five-fold

This amendment would improve our nation’s legal immigration system by increasing the H-1B cap from 65,000 to 325,000. It would also help America retain the people it educates by authorizing dual-intent student visas and address the need for high-skilled labor by creating a block grant to promote domestic high-skilled workers.

Cruz 1326: Combines Cruz 1324 and Cruz 1325. Implements Green Card reform to streamline and expand legal immigration and increases high-skilled temporary worker visas five fold.

In short, I don't know and I don't care what SELLOUT Walker says or does about Ted Cruz's plan.
Walker works for the "ESTABLISHMENT REPUBLICANS" now, and I will vote AGAINST Walker.

[Erik Latranyi]

You should seek professional help....really.

[Rashputin]

Riiiight, nothing "establishment" about a Harvard Business School Grad married to a Goldman Sacs VP.

[Yosemitest]

Then WHY are the "ESTABLISHMENT REPUBLICANS" "WARMING UP" to Walker ?
TED CRUZ is our ONLY CHOICE ! ! !

[Cincinatus' Wife]

Walker leads the field thanks to his strong support from voters who identify themselves as 'very conservative.'

[Cincinatus' Wife]

[WALKER]... gets 32% - with Carson, Cruz, and Paul all tying for second back at 11%.

[Yosemitest]

Yeah, I read his lead DROPPED by 6 point6 ?
But TED CRUZ INCREASED his percentages.
Walker'a a "HAS BEEN" !

[Rashputin]

The establishment crowd don't have to "warm up" to Cruz, there's nothing about him they need to change.

That H1-B stuff was his wink and nod to them so they'll see if a few bucks will buy them anything from Walker who is in reality far more Conservative and less "pragmatic" than Cruz so it looks like Cruz had some opposition but they'll put the real money they intend to pour out behind Cruz. Just a matter of time and whether or not it's obvious right away.

Walker went toe to toe with the vested interests everyone said no one could ever challenge, never gave an inch, and won. Cruz gives a good speech.

Cruz is the only choice ? Fine, when people who vote for Cruz are more pissed off and pissed on than the people who voted for Dub ever were I suppose you can post under another name to avoid embarrassment.

[Yosemitest]

"The establishment crowd don't have to "warm up" to Cruz, there's nothing about him they need to change."

Those are not MY WORDS.
I said :

class="b2"> "Then WHY are the "ESTABLISHMENT REPUBLICANS" "WARMING UP" to Walker ?"

It's MOST CERTAINLY NOT a "wink and nod to them" .
TED CRUZ is all about LEGAL IMMIGRATION, and NOT about destroying the laws that protect our borders.
I think you'd better read CRUZ's amendment proposal again.
Walker is going to turn out just like Rubio, a total SELLOUT, when it comes to Immigration and AMNESTY !



"ESTABLISHMENT REPUBLICANS"SHALL NOT PASS !

[Rashputin]

That comment reminds me of reading "Pooh" to my children, the part about Pooh being a bear of little brain.

Having already destroyed good paying blue collar jobs with the horde from Mexico King Barry has allowed in, the next frontier is destroying the remaining middle class jobs most of which require some skill that the money crowd can claim is in short supply. I'm being told what Walker "will do" and yet what Cruz has clearly already done is ignored.

"Establishment" money going to Walker is trying to buy his going along with what Cruz already accepts about immigration and a boatload of other issues so Cruz won't have a clear opponent in Walker.

Pooh, however, surely wouldn't see that because he is a bear of little brain.

[Cincinatus' Wife]

“....I’m being told what Walker “will do” and yet what Cruz has clearly already done is ignored.”

Please expand on this comparison.

[Cincinatus' Wife]

Gov Walker hasn’t declared as a candidate (waiting for 2015-17 state budget to be passed, and signed), as has Sen. Cruz, and yet Walker has remained near or at the top of most polls.

[Rashputin]

"Walker is going to turn out just like Rubio, a total SELLOUT, when it comes to Immigration and AMNESTY !"

For context, above is the relevant portion of the comment to which I responded.

Walker may or may not do this, that, or the other with regard to Immigration should he declare his candidacy. Cruz, however, has clearly stated that he supports increasing the number of H1-B Visas five fold and it is in skilled jobs that the next battle is being fought.

Conservatives, however, always anxious to close the barn door after the horse is long gone, are fighting the last battle in spite of having already lost it to King Barry and the millions upon millions of Mexicans already in the country.

Healing the damage from the huge influx of illegals across the border is going to take a long time no matter what the next President does. Yes, the border should be sealed and guarded. Yes, the illegals should mostly be deported. No, that won't solve the problems they've cause in anything like a few Presidential terms nor will it create a Congress with the spine to see any solution through.

You may well be able to return one or two thirds of the illegals to Mexico and other countries but that won't change the fact that wages have already fallen due to the abundance of illegals and there's no market mechanism that will raise those wages to their former level in less than a decade or so (and remember, the former wage level had already been stagnant since around 1974) since the industrial backbone of this nation has mostly been exported.

The final leg of turning the US into a nice One World chithole player is the destruction of the well paid jobs that H1-B Visa imports take from Americans. Fight that battle and roll back what losses we've already taken on that front and there's at least a chance that we can still rebuild without a default. Don't roll that back and fight that battle and the "Great Depression" isn't going to look any better in color news clips than it did in black & white news clips.

JMHo and never forget, opinions are like butt holes, everyone has one.

[Yosemitest]

That;'s because most of the "Polled Public" ain;t paying attention.
Walker's DROPPING in the polls already.
He's passed his peak !

[Yosemitest]

"with what Cruz already accepts about immigration and a boatload of other issues
so Cruz won't have a clear opponent in Walker."

Now THAT's a boatload of BULL !
Link me a reputable source to that fiction!

The ESTABLISHMENT REPUBLICANS" CAN'T ABIDE TED CRUZ,
because they know he'll expose them for the BACKSTABBERS they are !

TED CRUZ IS the SOLUTION !