I think we conservatives should learn from our wrongly held disbelief in polls. The 2012 national election should have taught us that the polls are correct within their margin of error. A lot of once prominent political commentators reputations took a big hit when they claimed the then polls were in error. I can accept the claim that it is early and voter opinion has not yet stabilized.
This poll skewed the numbers for Jeb by oversampling Republicans by 8 points and undersampling Independents by 5 points.
All of the other polls in NH show a 3 or 4 way race and are using the correct sampling of the primary electorate.
If this poll didn’t oversample Republicans and undersample Independents, it wouldn’t be an outlier.
You can trust polls the day before the election.