Ted Cruz2016 Presidential Candidate
Posted on 08/17/2015 2:35:54 AM PDT by iowamark
Look at the Real Clear Politics polling average. The candidates who are perceived to not be “of Washington” are arguable Trump, Carson, Cruz, Huckabee, Fiorina, Paul, Perry, Jindal, and (arguably) Walker.
Some of them may be “of Washington,” but they have pretty legitimate outsider, non-establishment bona fides. Add up their polling total in the average and we get 61.4% of the vote. In other words, right now 61.4% of the vote is with the anti-establishment crowd.
In six days, Donald Trump’s polling has declined two percent in the polling average with Cruz and Carson both going up just over one percentage point each.
Look in the bank accounts of the candidates and their Super PACs and you will also find that Cruz has been raising more small dollar donations than the other candidates. Individually and combined with Super PAC money, Cruz has the most money outside of Jeb Bush.
My theory is that Donald Trump will start to decline in popularity as we get closer to people having to cast an actual vote for someone they view as Presidential. The people with Trump right now are looking around for someone and the guy sitting in pole position for these voters is Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) 100%.
Cruz has a very plausible path to the nomination.
Consider as well the electoral map. Normally we have Iowa then New Hampshire then South Carolina then Florida then clusters of states.
This time we will have Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, then most of the southern states including Georgia and Texas before Florida.
Cruz, having horded his money and spent it wisely thus far, has the ability to bounce from Iowa into South Carolina doing well, then fan out across the South. There’s a reason he took a swing through southern states after the RedState Gathering. Cruz knows his path to victory lies through the south and the election calendar puts Southern states in play for the first time in a very long time.
We are still several months from the first votes being cast. But right now it is Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) 100%‘s time and he has a team of people who know what is at stake.
Groan.
Cruz was smart to not criticize Trump or Trump’s supporters.
Cruz is the likely inheritor of the ‘angry outsider vote’ if those votes go for an established, experienced politician.
Cruz is my first choice. But no way the Republican establishment is going to let him win. They hate his guts.
Absent Trump-like money, he won’t make it further.
Therefore, I’m supporting Trump for now. Hoping he picks Cruz as VP.
Cruz has a horde of donors.
He’s hoarding a horde even.
Let’s see, Erickson writes “My theory is...” I really don’t care what his theory is. He’s an establishment nobody that overplayed his hand. What a loser he’s turned out to be. “My theory is “ that nobody will notice he said anything.
See my tagline.
Cruz has done exceptionally well considering the media erasure of him.
“right now 61.4% of the vote is with the anti-establishment crowd.”
ONly 61.4%???
I guess the other 38.6% believe that the same people who have been powerless for the last 30 plus years to fix our problems will suddenly be able to fix our problems?
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While I'm a Cruz supporter and my theory happens to be much the same as Erickson's, I'd have to agree that this particular theory from this particular pundit at this particular time...isn't especially helpful.
I’m not a fan of Erickson, but he’s spot on with this analysis.
I’m a Trump/Cruz - Cruz/Trump person. I’m fine with either one winning.
I give $20 every paycheck. I can’t afford it, but you know what? I can’t afford not to anymore.
Trump supporters will tell you Erickson is a RINO GOPe sellout.
Erickson will take anyone but Trump.
He is and he’s a fat slob. :)
It must torment Erick that he had to resort to kinda-sorta endorsing Cruz to try to make folks forget his Trump screw up....
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