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To: BigEdLB
The poll was conducted between September 23 and 30. Over 8 days. 431 in Iowa. 54 per day. 450 in New Hampshire. 56 per day MOE about 4.6%. No iternals. Only second choice.

New Hampshire Trump 21 -7 Fiorina 16 +10 Carson 10 -1 Bush 11 +3 Kasich 6 -6 Rubio 10 +7.

Iowa Trump 24 -5, Carson 19 -3 Fiorina 8 +3 Cruz 6 +2 Rubio 6 +2 Bush 7 +1

Someone wants to move the needle to establishment candidates. I wonder if like the CNN poll, where Trump went up then down they were trying to create a story where the previous poll was to high and this poll is low and the truth is somewhere in between.
8 posted on 10/04/2015 8:08:48 AM PDT by BigEdLB (Congress will have blood on their hands if anything happens because of the Iran appeasement)
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To: BigEdLB
They sampled 200 plus Republican in this poll .
Such a tiny sample of 200 is consider useless in a country of 365,000,000 !

This Poll with more people but still small has Trump up by 2 points and now at 32 % !

http://www.ipsos-na.com/news-polls/pressrelease.aspx?id=7011

What kind of crappy push polling is the National Barack Channel and the Murdoch Cheap labor newsletter trying to fool people with ! These poll tell two very different stories ! I believe nothing from NBC,WSJ ,Fox or any Murdoch propaganda outlet ! I don't trust AP or Reuters either .

16 posted on 10/04/2015 8:35:10 AM PDT by ncalburt ( Amnesty-media out in full force)
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To: BigEdLB

Fox News, especially Bloody Megyn barely mentioned the Pew Poll that showed Trump up big on everyone. She’ll start her broadcast tomorrow with this latest WSJ/Marist Poll, saying Trump is losing steam and Fiorina is ‘SURGING”. She’ll blab on about it through the second commercial break with Krauthammer, Will and Rove saying Trump is finished.


17 posted on 10/04/2015 8:46:38 AM PDT by NKP_Vet (In matters of style, swim with the current; in matters of principle,stand like a rock ~ T, Jefferson)
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To: BigEdLB

Margin of error is plus or minus 4.6 percent.

That means they’ve got an error range of nine percent, right?

Which means the poll is statistically irrelevant.

Trump is down 7 percent? That whole shift could be chalked up the the margin of error!


23 posted on 10/04/2015 9:08:25 AM PDT by Fightin Whitey
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