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Take a Bow, Species
National Review ^ | 10/25/15 | Kevin D. Williamson

Posted on 10/26/2015 6:42:02 AM PDT by 1010RD

From polio to poverty, we are winning.

Well done, human race. Well done.

At the end of September, the Global Commission for the Certification of Poliomyelitis Eradication convened in Bali and, after reviewing the reports of its member nations, declared poliovirus type 2 eradicated in the wild.

This was really only a bureaucratic stamp on a fact: The last case of type 2 polio was identified in Aligarh, India, in 1999. Thanks in no small part to the initiative of the world’s Rotarians — one of those “little platoons” of which Edmund Burke was so fond — polio has been eradicated everywhere on Earth except for two places where those who would eradicate it are forbidden to operate: Afghanistan and Pakistan. That’s the Taliban’s gift to the Islamic world: paralytic polio.

Despite some recent setbacks, including funding troubles after the financial crisis and the emergence of anti-vaccine nuttery in the United States and elsewhere, measles and rubella are next on the hit list. Those diseases will almost certainly be a thing of the past a decade or two hence.

The Princeton economist Angus Dean, recently awarded the Nobel prize, has spent much of his career working on how we measure consumption, poverty, real standards of living, etc. It is thanks in part to his work that we can say that the global rate of “extreme poverty,” currently defined as subsistence on less than the equivalent of $1.90 a day, is now the condition of less than 10 percent of the human race. In the 1980s, that number was 50 percent — half the species — and as late as the dawn of the 21st century, one-third of the human race lived in extreme poverty. The progress made against poverty in the past 30 years is arguably the most dramatic economic event since the Industrial Revolution. It did not happen by accident.

Good news abroad, and good news at home: In 1990, there were 2,245 murders in New York City. That number has fallen by 85 percent. Murders are down, often dramatically, in cities across the country. The overall rate of violent crime has fallen by about half in recent decades.

U.S. manufacturing output per worker trebled from 1975 to 2005, and our total manufacturing output continues to climb. Despite the no-knowthings who go around complaining that “we don’t make things here anymore,” the United States continues to make the very best of almost everything and, thanks to our relatively free-trading ways, to consume the best of everything, too.

General-price inflation, the bane of the U.S. economy for some decades, is hardly to be seen. Flexible and effective institutions helped ensure that we weathered one of the worst financial crises of modern times with surprisingly little disruption in the wider economy. Despite politicians who would usurp our rights, our courts keep reliably saying that the First Amendment and the Second Amendment pretty much mean what they say. I just filled up my car for $1.78 a gallon.

The world isn’t ending.

To the economist Tyler Cowen the world is indebted for the phrase “the fallacy of mood affiliation,” which he explains:

It seems to me that people are first choosing a mood or attitude, and then finding the disparate views which match to that mood and, to themselves, justifying those views by the mood. I call this the “fallacy of mood affiliation,” and it is one of the most underreported fallacies in human reasoning. In the context of economic growth debates, the underlying mood is often “optimism” or “pessimism” per se and then a bunch of ought-to-be-independent views fall out from the chosen mood.

This is a more eloquent version of what I sometimes refer to as the black-hats/white-hats school of political analysis. Examples of that are the fact that a great many people with an interest in Israeli–Palestinian issues begin and end consideration of any particular fact by asking whose fault it is (in the case of negative developments) or who gets the credit (in the case of positive developments). You know the type: If a hurricane should come crashing into the Holy Land, the imams and the progressive columnists will find a way to blame it on the Jews.

The Right engages in a fair amount of mood affiliation: The country must have suffered ruination, because the Obama administration, abetted by the hated “Republican establishment,” can have done nothing but ruin the country. But then you visit New York City or Los Angeles or Chicago, or you drive across northern Mississippi or the Texas Panhandle and see all those splendid farms and technology companies and factories producing all the best things that mankind can dream of, and, well, it certainly doesn’t look like a ruined country. In the past few years, I’ve been to the Netherlands, Norway, Germany, Switzerland, Spain, Costa Rica, the United Kingdom, Mexico, and a few years further back India, Colombia, the Dominican Republic — it doesn’t look like ruined world. Of course there are unhappy corners: Haiti, Pakistan.

Francis Fukuyama was mocked for declaring “the end of history” as the Cold War came to a close, but he wasn’t really wrong. Haiti and Pakistan, and the territories currently held by the so-called Islamic State, do not represent the emergence of a credible competitor to liberal democracy; they are only failed states, and failure is something of which there is, alas, to be no end. Even in the case of such deeply illiberal and undemocratic regimes as the one ensconced in Beijing, the drive toward free enterprise, toward higher quality in governance, and even toward accountability (implicit rather than explicit in China) is present. China’s political situation isn’t good; it is, however, better. And, given the institutional failures we have seen in other countries when procedural democracy emerged before effective and accountable institutions — Haiti, again — it may turn out that in 100 years China’s path will, despite the many horrors associated with its rulers’ brutality, turn out to have been something closer to the right one than the alternatives we liberal democrats in Anno Domini 2015 imagined. Even within the relatively narrow world of capitalist democracies, the old debate between the social democrats and the partisans of Anglo-American liberalism includes a great deal more consensus than it did 60 years ago.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS:
I've often been mocked for saying "we're winning", but we are. Look around the world and you'll see that every country rejecting socialism and embracing free market economies and western values is moving from poverty and backwardness to prosperity and improvement.

Even in our own country the bastions of racism, poverty, ignorance and violence are concentrated in our most socialistic regions. We are winning and we need to recognize why.

The American middle-class is directly under attack by socialists and their massive government spending, including lifetime public pensions for 75% of high annual salaries coupled with beliefs about human life that are contradicted daily. We need fathers and husbands, strong family formation and Constitutional liberty. It is there that a strong America is born.

1 posted on 10/26/2015 6:42:02 AM PDT by 1010RD
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To: 1010RD

Read the rest of the article. It’s a great read and worth it.


2 posted on 10/26/2015 6:42:52 AM PDT by 1010RD (First, Do No Harm)
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To: 1010RD

OK What are ‘Rotarians’?

Is that the ‘Rotary Club’?

Anyone here know who they are and what they do?


3 posted on 10/26/2015 6:51:36 AM PDT by Mr. K (If it is HilLIARy -vs- Jeb! then I am writing-in Palin/Cruz)
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To: Mr. K

They are indeed the Rotary Club, and their role in nearly eliminating polio worldwide (a few fanatical redoubts in Pakistan and Africa aside) is pretty well-known, and well worth celebrating.


4 posted on 10/26/2015 6:55:07 AM PDT by untenured
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To: untenured

I thought they made rotary engines?...


5 posted on 10/26/2015 7:00:39 AM PDT by Resolute Conservative
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To: Mr. K

https://www.rotary.org/

The point being that private citizens can act and achieve great things normally reserved for government. Socialists are wrong.


6 posted on 10/26/2015 7:10:13 AM PDT by 1010RD (First, Do No Harm)
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To: Mr. K

Well at least they aren’t “Rodians”.


7 posted on 10/26/2015 7:20:05 AM PDT by Roman_War_Criminal
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To: 1010RD

Unfortunately, barbarism is always a viable alternative to civilization. And, what’s worse within the civilized world, the conflict between fascism (as represented variously by the Chinese “Communists”, “political correctness” in Western academe, and the tendencies throughout the business community that want the state to impose regulations to prop up their business model) and liberty is still very much on-going, and at present it looks like the wrong side is winning.


8 posted on 10/26/2015 7:21:49 AM PDT by The_Reader_David (And when they behead your own people in the wars which are to come, then you will know...)
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To: The_Reader_David

That fight will never end.


9 posted on 10/26/2015 7:28:16 AM PDT by 1010RD (First, Do No Harm)
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To: 1010RD

10 posted on 10/26/2015 7:55:05 AM PDT by HLPhat (This space is intentionally blank.)
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To: Mr. K

Wheels.

They make wheels. A LOT of them...and they “turn” them out quickly.

[sorry... I had to...}


11 posted on 10/26/2015 9:12:24 AM PDT by NFHale (The Second Amendment - By Any Means Necessary.)
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