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Is Ted Cruz The Most Likely GOP Nominee In 2016?
The Federalist ^ | October 27, 2015 | The Federalist Staff

Posted on 10/27/2015 7:01:48 AM PDT by Isara

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To: Isara
Is Ted Cruz The Most Likely GOP Nominee In 2016?

No.

41 posted on 10/27/2015 9:15:06 AM PDT by Jim Noble (Diseases desperate grown Are by desperate appliance relieved Or not at al)
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To: VanDeKoik

“Every political battle he has been in has ended in defeat.”
The same could be said of Churchill until Hitler proved he had been the only British leader with the foresight and will to lead his country in that hour.
At some point, reality will come crashing down on this country and we will either face it with President Cruz or regret passing him over.


42 posted on 10/27/2015 9:20:08 AM PDT by I-ambush (Don't let it bring you down, it's only castles burning.)
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To: Georgia Girl 2

That poll has been pulled from FR. I’m trying to find it on the net but no luck yet.


43 posted on 10/27/2015 9:38:04 AM PDT by deport
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To: ziravan

“The dynamics are in flux enough that all Cruz need be doing at this point is positioning himself to take maximum advantage, and that’s exactly what he’s doing.”

That is not a strategy.

It is the assumption that Trump isnt a serious candidate and that the GOPe has been completely demolished.

BOTH cannot be true. Either Trump is serious, and will likely win, or the GOPe will no longer have Trump kicking their rear and thus have an open road to the nomination while the press marginalizes Cruz.

“If you think this kind of strategy is farfetched, it’s exactly how Cruz took out well funded establishment David Dewhurst for Senate. Cruz was never dominate in the polls until the exact time he needed to be and then, boom. “

Good grief.... This is why the right cant win these types of elections to save our lives.

Texas senate race =/= a national primary.


44 posted on 10/27/2015 9:45:32 AM PDT by VanDeKoik
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To: Bidimus1

I think I see where you are going with this ... water is water. But that is where the analogy falls short. Bush is definitely not water. Bush is motor oil. Rubio is boxed wine. Trump is soda pop. Cruz alone is bottled water. Now I could drink soda pop or boxed wine and survive; not so much the motor oil. But, I'd prefer any kind of bottled water to quench my thirst. And, for the first time since Reagan, a crate of bottled water is available for us thirsty people to find in this political desert. I won't disparage Trump or Carson, I like them. But we have an opportunity here for a Reaganesque-storm. And that is what I crave.


45 posted on 10/27/2015 9:48:49 AM PDT by so_real ( "The Congress of the United States recommends and approves the Holy Bible for use in all schools.")
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To: so_real

I am for Cruz, just to be clear.

but Jeb,Trump,Carson may be dirty water.. but HRC is more like hemlock.

As bad as Kennedy (scotus) is he would look rock ribbed compared to what HRC will nominate..


46 posted on 10/27/2015 9:55:37 AM PDT by Bidimus1
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To: Isara

You can keep posting that graphic and ignore reality if you want but two issues will elect the next president. Build the wall and deport the illegals. Cruz could have been at the top if he had figured that out, but the money boys wouldn’t allow him to say anything about those two items unless he opposed them.


47 posted on 10/27/2015 10:28:17 AM PDT by itsahoot (55 years a republican-Now Independent. Will write in Sarah Palin, no matter who runs. RIH-GOP)
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To: FreeReign
Really? You're saying this one year before an election? You're saying this knowing that Hillary is a corrupt Marxist wacko?

So is the current resident yet he is there.

48 posted on 10/27/2015 10:30:27 AM PDT by itsahoot (55 years a republican-Now Independent. Will write in Sarah Palin, no matter who runs. RIH-GOP)
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To: VanDeKoik

Iowa caucus is close to Texas primary in disposition of turnout and the first big primary is the so called SEC primary. It’s early and will shake up the race. Cruz is well positioned as a favored son.

Good grief, I never said Cruz was following his Texas primary to the letter. I said its a similar strategy as was in that 9 person Senate primary: position himself as the alternative to the Establishment, wait for the lanes to clear, and strike.

It’s a strategy that will work here as well. Bush, Rove and the GOPe devised the splinter strategy precisely to defeat Cruz’ current strategy. Notice I didn’t say they designed it to beat Cruz; they designed a strategy to avoid a one on one race. Cruz’ strategy is to create that race with him positioned as antiestablishment.

Cruz’ strategy will work. The question now is who’ll be the antiestablishment guy and surprisingly, who will be the establishment guy.


49 posted on 10/27/2015 10:52:27 AM PDT by ziravan (Buck the Establishment.)
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To: itsahoot
You're saying this one year before an election? You're saying this knowing that Hillary is a corrupt Marxist wacko?

So is the current resident yet he is there.

Obama had no real conservative opponent. Both Romney and McCain were RINOs.

50 posted on 10/27/2015 10:56:38 AM PDT by FreeReign
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To: deport

Go to the OAN website they likely have it posted there.


51 posted on 10/27/2015 11:30:49 AM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: Georgia Girl 2

I like Ted Cruz but my question is what momentous event does Ted think is likely
to happen that will catapult him from 7.3% to 34.7%

************

As other candidates leave the race their supporters will shift to others that are still
in the race. Cruz will get some for sure and so will the others, Trump; Carson, etc.
I’m not sure that Cruz will get the lion’s share as it will depend upon endorsements or
not by the exiting candidate. By the time we get to the Mar. 1 primaries and certainly
afterwards it will be a 2 or 3 candidate race, imo. Personally, I think Cruz has the potential
to rise while either Trump or Carson will drop. JMO and nothing more.


52 posted on 10/27/2015 12:39:32 PM PDT by deport
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To: Georgia Girl 2
Their website has been up/down for me most of the day. Here it is.


53 posted on 10/27/2015 12:43:02 PM PDT by deport
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To: deport

I could see Ted rising enough to be competitive except for the fact that he is not the second choice of Trump supporters Carson is. Ted is also not the second choice of Carson supporters. Trump is. So Carson is looking like a parking lot for Trump supporters. I don’t see how the numbers add up for Ted.

The other problem I see is that Ted Cruz was struggling in the polls before Trump even got in it. So I don’t see Trump as Cruz’s main problem. I think Ted’s big problem is Ted.


54 posted on 10/27/2015 12:49:40 PM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: Georgia Girl 2

I think Ted’s big problem is Ted.

***************

To a degree that is correct in that he perceived as on the far right side of the GOP.
He’s got to provide the supporters of other candidates a reason that he’s the one.
Can he? I don’t know but I do believe he’ll be around for a while. He’s got some cash
and what else is he going to do? Might as well spend it.


55 posted on 10/27/2015 12:55:11 PM PDT by deport
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To: deport

I agree there is no reason for Ted not to stick around as long as he has the money to play. I’m sure a brilliant guy like Ted Cruz is hedging his bets by staying on the good side of Trump in case Trump gets nominated. A good job like AG is nothing to sneeze at.


56 posted on 10/27/2015 12:59:00 PM PDT by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: FreeReign
I am not a quitter but we must assume, even a year away that Hilliary is the default, and why?

1) Once the American electorate elected President Ovomit, and TWICE, anything bad is possible in 2016.

2)The GOP has fielded far too many candidates, way too early and they are involved in a civil war which is apparent for all to see and judge. It looks stupid and petty. This circus has been going on for at least a year AND MOST FOLKS ARE ALREADY SICK OF WATCHING THE REPUBLICANS MAKE A**ES OUT OF THEMSELVES.

3) An unknown African American Community organizer has broken the race/gender barrier.

4) Many Americans now see the logical next barrier to be broken as the gender one. So, Hilliary is the shoe-in. It doesn't matter that she is a corrupt and should NOT hold that high office at all. The facts are clear, she should be in jail BUT...the media are giving her carte blanche.

5) The facts were clear in 2009 and 2012 that Ovomit cannot be trusted and yet, he won twice.

6) Expect logic and reason to be turned on it's head. Expect any Republican candidate exhorting traditional American values and more to be DESTROYED by the press.

7) Trump is not the ideal candidate BUT he emits raw energy and a “get the job done” mentality which is what many of Middle America want.

8) All the other candidates in the GOP are listless, even the young ones.

9) If the current trend continues, Trump will take the nomination for the GOP but he will be obliterated by a massive smear campaign the likes of which we have never seen, not even during the Nixon years.

10) If the GOP is in disarray, Hillary the loser is a shoe-in. Carson cannot compete, let alone, stay awake...

57 posted on 10/27/2015 11:34:36 PM PDT by Netz
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