You’re assuming that earlier victories won’t affect the race in later states. If the past is anything to go by they probably will, but then we don’t know by how much. Too many factors at this time to say that this or that WILL happen based on the present.
Absolutely. But we also know that IA, historically is meaningless. I think Trump will win, but it’s still a nothingburger. However, I don’t recall any candidate EVER having such massive leads in so many states that vote on or before Super Tues. Hard to see that changing.
Is anything about this race similar to the “past”? Ask the GOPe, political pundits, consultants and media.