Would that be a shocker? The polls have been wrong before.
You’re right - especially in Iowa.
As far as we know, Rubio could win it according to those college polls. (Shudder...)
I guess in the aggregate, no, based on history, however, this cycle has been very different and his #s have been strong from almost day 1, everywhere. It’s not like 2008 and 2012 where there were several candidates who were up and down through the early primary cycle leading up to Iowa. So, no, based on history, it would not be a surprise, however, I’m not sure history or conventional wisdom applies this cycle. That all being said, we know nothing until later tonight :)