Most of OH is communist. Very revengeful types. Stupid early then get a mindful whack over the head when the world opens.
OH has a conservative legislature which Kasich has worked against in his support of expanded Medicare and Common Core. Add to that OH voters are capable of sorting through it. They actually voted correctly on the marijuana issue....no to a law with a lot of negatives built in, no to allowing monopolies through legislation.
My take on OH is that it's populated by families from farming and manufacturing traditions. Most want the gov to do too many things for them, for sure, but they also want the kinds of jobs their families had.
I wouldn't even try to guess who wins on Tuesday. Different parts of the state have different issues. I would guess one thing, that the Lorraine steel jobs leaving hurts Kasich and helps Trump. Too much of Kasich's jobs miracle has been lower paying jobs, often filled by invaders, that hardly add up to the well-paying jobs which have disappeared.