None of these polls reflect the crossover votes Trump may very likely get. I think it is close but I think Trump has the best odds at this point. But, no matter who wins the states delegates will be split...that favors Trump who needs those delegates the least of the three.
The night before the Arizona primary a Cruz spokesman was interviewed on Fox and said although the polls said Trump was going to win that Cruz had really been coming on strong and Cruz ALWAYS wins the late-deciders and said the Cruz camp felt good that he might pull out a win in Arizona. He disappeared the next night when Trump won Arizona by 20%,carrying the Morman vote in the state and also carrying the late deciders. Of course Cruz won the Utah small caucus. He and Sanders win in caucus states but they both get destroyed in big primary states where more than a couple thousand people show up, sit in a room and can be persuaded to switch their votes.
Trump only needs 18 of the 42 delegates in Wisconsin to stay on target. Even if he gets less than that he will more than make up for it in NY.
If Trump gets mid 30s in WI it doesn’t matter if he actually wins the state. He’ll still be in target.
Cruz/GOPe are the desperate ones.
“But, no matter who wins the states delegates will be split”
I thought Wisconsin was a winner take all state.