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NATE SILVER: Donald Trump's chances of locking up the nomination appear to be dwindling
businessinsider.com ^ | April 13, 2016 | Allan Smith

Posted on 04/14/2016 10:50:48 AM PDT by John W

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To: John W
"That projection came before Trump suffered a crushing defeat in Wisconsin to Ted Cruz, the Texas senator nipping at his heels."

"Crushing defeat" = 36 delegates to six.
"Nipping at heels" = A triple-digit number of delegates behind
No mention of Cruz's impending flops in New York and the northeast

Who writes this trash? Do they think omitting details inconvenient to the narrative they're attempting to push changes reality?

21 posted on 04/14/2016 11:17:03 AM PDT by Trump20162020
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To: heights

If it goes down this way the Trump voters will certainly walk. If the Dems nominate Bernie I could see some of them crossing over to vote for him. At least Bernie opposes TPP.


22 posted on 04/14/2016 11:18:52 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: Trump20162020

A few solid win is an 82 delegates should be easy to get


23 posted on 04/14/2016 11:26:01 AM PDT by stocksthatgoup (GOPe/MSM - "When we want your opinion, we will give it to you.")
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To: Buckeye McFrog

By the same token either Hillary or Bernie would defeat Trump.


24 posted on 04/14/2016 11:29:08 AM PDT by John W (Under One Year And Counting!)
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To: John W

Never before has the frontrunner candidate been treated with such contempt. Being the #1 Frontrunner since July means nothing to these contemptible axis of cretins.


25 posted on 04/14/2016 11:29:28 AM PDT by tflabo (truth or tyrrany)
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To: tflabo

Understanding as a Cruz supporter (albeit one voting for the nominee whomever that is) I might be one of those cretins, could you give an honest answer as to why “Never before has the frontrunner candidate been treated with such contempt.”?


26 posted on 04/14/2016 11:33:17 AM PDT by John W (Under One Year And Counting!)
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To: heights
If Cruz Steals it on the Second ballot, he will then go on to the most Spectacular defeat in Republican history. In your heart you know he’s Nuts.

If Trump loses to Cruz, it will be because Trump played poker without ever bluffing, played baseball without ever stealing a base, and played politics without courting delegates. Those moves are how the game is played, whether we like it or not. The idea that Trump wasn't screening and recruiting delegates from every district in the country as soon as he saw his campaign was going to do well should concern everyone. The idea that he is still not, as far as we know, courting those delegates appalls me.

If Trump does not win on the first ballot, his only chance on the second ballot is if he courts delegates effectively, and it looks like he's not even trying. If Cruz were not there as the #2 in this race, some establishment RINO would be there, and I would very strongly prefer Cruz (whether or not any of us would want to have a beer with him) over Kasich, Rubio, Jeb, or any of the others who support Amnesty and other liberal positions.

I think Trump is still likely to get a majority of delegates on the first round ballot. I will vote for Trump, and I will be cheering for him to win. However, if he falls short, I will blame Trump. He knew better or should have known better, and it's his fault if he doesn't play the game as well as possible under the rules that we all know are in effect. So far, the only thing Trump is doing well is attracting and exciting primary election voters, and that is not everything he needs to do in the primaries to win.

27 posted on 04/14/2016 11:33:59 AM PDT by Pollster1 (Somebody who agrees with me 80% of the time is a friend and ally, not a 20% traitor. - Ronald Reagan)
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To: Buckeye McFrog

hey, I’m a cruzer but there’s nothing trumpers could do that would take it further south. Cleveland used to be a great city but once steel left and the city was overrun with feral animals it became lost and that was years and years ago.


28 posted on 04/14/2016 11:36:34 AM PDT by Undecided 2012
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To: dartuser

Perhaps TDS is abating somewhat. Meeting with Megyn Kelly at Trump Tower. Karl Rove’s PAC coming around to the prospect of a President Trump and wanting to stay relevant.
Today, on Capitol Hill, Trump aide Ed Brookover told Chris Collins, Duncan Hunter and other Trump friendly members of congress that the campaign expects to lock up the nomination with 1265 delegates by June.
Hoping that Cruz’s mathematical elimination will mark a key turning point in making him a less viable candidate in the minds of voters in subsequent states. As a result, vote totals will translate into increased delegate hauls for Mr. Trump, as you suggest.


29 posted on 04/14/2016 11:37:42 AM PDT by edie1960
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To: John W

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/04/karl-rove-donald-trump-221926


30 posted on 04/14/2016 11:37:43 AM PDT by orchestra ((And there were also two other, malefactors, led with him to be put to death.))
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To: Kenny

Rubio said on Levin’s show that he wants a conservative nominee, and that the only conservative left in the race is Cruz.


31 posted on 04/14/2016 11:40:30 AM PDT by KansasGirl (So proud to say, "I voted for Ted Cruz!")
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To: edie1960

This “elimination” of which you speak, how many convention ballots is that in effect?


32 posted on 04/14/2016 11:40:42 AM PDT by John W (Under One Year And Counting!)
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To: KansasGirl
Rubio said on Levin’s show that he wants a conservative nominee, and that the only conservative left in the race is Cruz.

What else can he say? He wants to stop Trump and his options are limited.

33 posted on 04/14/2016 11:42:16 AM PDT by Kenny (e)
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To: Undecided 2012
hey, I’m a cruzer but there’s nothing trumpers could do that would take it further south.

Johnny Manziel gave it a damned good try though.


34 posted on 04/14/2016 11:42:49 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: Kenny

He also said his Luke-warm praise of Cruz wasn’t an endorsement.


35 posted on 04/14/2016 11:43:48 AM PDT by proust (Texans for Trump!)
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To: proust
He also said his Luke-warm praise of Cruz wasn’t an endorsement

Yeah, that's right. The media was all over saying Rubio had endorsed Cruz and Marco came right out with a denial.

36 posted on 04/14/2016 11:46:19 AM PDT by Kenny (e)
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To: John W

The Republican Party establishment is willing to throw the election to Hillary as an acceptable price for kneecapping Trump.


37 posted on 04/14/2016 11:47:00 AM PDT by Cyberman
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To: Kenny

Cruder are still trying to make more it than it was.


38 posted on 04/14/2016 11:47:02 AM PDT by proust (Texans for Trump!)
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To: proust

Cruzers. Spell check.


39 posted on 04/14/2016 11:47:26 AM PDT by proust (Texans for Trump!)
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To: Undecided 2012

Cleveland used to be a great city but once steel left and the city was overrun with feral animals it became lost and that was years and years ago.


Sadly that statement can be said about most other American cities


40 posted on 04/14/2016 11:47:43 AM PDT by LMAO (I know Hillary and I think she'd make a great president or Vice President. Don Trump 2008)
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