My family members seem to be on the “leave” side, even one that I know to be quite liberal. ...while just one guy it leaves me feeling something is amiss in the polls, a setup for fraud.
It’s definitely hard to call this on pure politics as left and right are on BOTH sides.
The key will be if the Leave side can turn out England in force, and clob together what they can in Scotland and Wales.
Scotland as a whole will vote to remain. They are EU lovers up there. Wales may do so just to screw England. N. Ireland is a bit of a wildcard.
London will be a battle between the old immigration waves from India and the Caribbean that lean to leave, the lower income whites that want to stem cheap labor and will vote leave, and the Muslims + leftists that will side with remain.
It would be strange if it came own to Gibraltar or some BOT in the middle of the ocean that provided the deciding votes.