Trump can win the election but he has to act through November 8 as though he is two touchdowns behind. Trump must never assume that he has the election won.
Even though I used some historical analysis, this election is likely to confound pundits because the two candidates introduce some unusual dynamics into the election cycle. Trump is an unorthodox campaigner with no political experience and thus, no track record. Trump is more of a populist than a holder of any particular political view. He is seen by all in his party as the outsider which some view as good and others as bad. Hillary is viewed by even her supporters as lacking integrity, a wooden campaigner with a style of speech that is off-putting, awkward, uninspiring and comes across as nagging. In addition, she is viewed as the continuation of the political dynasty of the Clinton Family.
Much of it is due to decades of Democrat-importing mass legal immigration. If you import millions of natural Democrats each decade, then there should be no surprise when the national map gets harder for the GOP and easier for the Democrats.
You know, liberals can not win an election without using fraud, and you can count on it that Hillary Rotten Clinton will use plenty of fraud to win the election.