So the AA vote went from 14% to 4% overnight yesterday on a 7 day rolling average? Doesn’t make sense.
Sure it does. 7 days before dropping 10 points, it went up 10 points. There was ONE sample with high African American support, I'd say on the order of 50-60% in ONE sample. That sample got averaged in with 6 other sameples (each of them at about 4%) for 7 days, then fell off.
FWIW, the top line result for 8/24 is very close, C 44.3, T 44.0