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There are my four swingy counties in Florida I am paying attention to from bluest to reddest: Pinellas (blue), Jefferson (light blue), Monroe (tiny bit red), Volusia (light red). McCain lost all four while losing state by 2%. Romney lost Pinellas by 6 points, lost Jefferson by 1.7 points and lost Monroe by 0.4 points. He won Volusia by 1.2 points. Lost statewide by 0.9 points. If Trump wins Volusia and Monroe, he probably wins Florida. If he also wins Jefferson, he probably wins the presidency. If he wins or loses Pinellas by less than 0.5%, he will have a blowout. Pay close attention to these counties. FYI.
1 posted on 08/31/2016 9:06:00 AM PDT by Ravi
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To: LS

FYI


2 posted on 08/31/2016 9:06:54 AM PDT by Ravi
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To: Ravi

The George Soros’ voter fraud army thanks you for your detailed analysis...


4 posted on 08/31/2016 9:13:42 AM PDT by ObozoMustGo2012
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To: Ravi

This is good stuff. Any huge changes for active voters or registrations?


6 posted on 08/31/2016 9:14:32 AM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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To: Ravi
Excellent post. I am in N Pinellas County.
9 posted on 08/31/2016 9:20:26 AM PDT by Awgie (Truth is always stranger than fiction.)
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To: Ravi

Lets hope a lot of those Pinellas democrats vote for Trump
Not the old fuddies who think he’s “rude” but maybe the real thinkers


11 posted on 08/31/2016 9:24:39 AM PDT by silverleaf (Age takes a toll: Please have exact change)
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To: Ravi

I live in Pinellas, and I can tell you that Pinellas is more red than you think. The problem is that most of the people who would vote red don’t go to the polls. We are actively trying to get more people to the polls, and yesterday’s primary vote tells me it’s working.

Voter turnout was incredible yesterday. By some accounts it was as high as 25% which is unheard of in a primary. Sadly, David Jolly still won in district 13 despite one Hell of a good guy in his challenger Mark Bircher.


12 posted on 08/31/2016 9:26:53 AM PDT by rarestia (It's time to water the Tree of Liberty.)
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To: Ravi
Great catch!

You have correctly identified that a state as large and diverse as Florida (#3 nationally) is controlled by the counties along the I-4 corridor - from Tampa to Daytona including Orlando. North Florida is very blue. South Florida is just as red. It all comes down to the little strip in the middle.

I would be very curious to see the effect on the state and national elections if we went to elections based on Congressional districts rather than the winner-take-all system we have in most states, Nebraska and Maine being the exceptions. This would dramatically alter the calculus of winning the electoral college vote, but level the playing field in ways that would make all votes more meaningful. As it is now, Republican voters in California and New York have no voice. Similarly, Democrats in Texas and Wyoming, to name just a few examples. I am very aware that this would require acquiescence of the individual states. Your thoughts, please.

14 posted on 08/31/2016 9:33:10 AM PDT by T. Rustin Noone (the angels wanna wear my red shoes......)
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To: Ravi

Pinellas has about 153,000 registered independent voters (registered as party choice = none). Last figures I saw for Fla. was Trump was up 44% to 30% among independents statewide. If that figure holds to election day then the odds look good for Trump.


15 posted on 08/31/2016 9:44:42 AM PDT by Stevenc131
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