[Celerity]

This is what I’ve feared since the beginning - A 49/51 split that will put Clinton as a winner.

She has like 20%. Everything else is a lie. The numbers simply aren’t there.

If Trump can appeal to the Bernbots tonight, there is no mathematical way she can win. Period.

[MNJohnnie]

Nope. Because there is this phenomenon “shy Trump voters” noticed during the Primaries. Trump gets support from people who will not admit they are voting for him. Due to the extremists demonizing of him in the establishment media, there are a good number of Trump support who are afraid to admit they are supporting him.

The other problem is the Establishment polling firms are using the 2012 turn out model. Anyone really think Hillary will turn out minority voters the way 0 did?

Finally incumbency. Hillary is 0 “third term”. An incumbent needs to be 5-10 points ahead to feel comfortable since last minute deciders usually vote against the status quo or do not vote at all. The exception to this was 2000 when the Bush DUI story broke right before election day.

Tie game is advantage Trump. The Left is going to have to find the Mother of all Oct Surprises to have any chance to save Hillary failing campaign.