I’ve been worried about these numbers for awhile. Why isn’t the enthusiasm gap showing up?
It does seem that DEMs who voted in in-person early voting or on election day in 2012 are now doing so via absentee ballot (vote-by-mail) in 2016.
In 2012, REPs won absentee voting by 79,000. Then DEMs took the lead with in-person voting.
I’m guessing this year, the DEMs don’t have as large as a margin in in-person early voting which starts on Oct. 24th.