Gee...is that why I ONLY saw TRUMP signs, all over Florida? ;^)
(((YAWN))) Another “poll”. The next one will be along in 15 minutes.
Opinion/savvy is a GOPe polling firm.
One-day poll from a D-rated pollster.
These pollsters are as dishonest as the media. They did they same thing against Brexit. The ONLY hope for Shrillary is mass voter fraud, which they were (and likely still are) working overtime to make happen.
If Hillary has it in the bag - why is the NYT suddenly writing she is campaigning for a mandate?
All lies.
Also interesting that this poll says Trump is beating Hillary in the early vote by 4.
So Trump is winning among the people voting now but Hillary has the edge among those voting in November? Interesting.
I see this as a sign that many people who say they support Hillary may not turn out to vote at all.
It is female +11.8 in the raw unweighted data - it just means more woman responded, but then they weight the results.
MmmmmmK.
Hate to say this folks....but, read my lips.....Donald J. Trump is winning in Florida and, on election day, Novmber 8th, DJT will win the state of Florida with at least a 500,000 vote margin of victory!!! End of story!!!
I am terrified of being too hopeful....but I really feel like Trump might pull this off....against all odds. EVERY person I have talked to is voting Trump..except two people who said they were voting for Johnson. Said they wouldn’t vote for Trump or Clinton. Those two people don’t know a thing about politics...and had never heard of Wikileaks. Unbelievable to me that people can be so uninformed.
Must have been Hillsborough County (Tampa) and they polled all democRATS!
Just a little meme help here—that is Poll Malpractice.
Thanks. :-)
So assuming Hillary leads among all women by 2:1, oversampling women by 11.9% will deliver a 4.1% point over-representation in the poll - more than her lead in the poll. And I am not sure she is leading by 2:1 among women. Correcting just for that imbalance, Trump would be ahead by a very slim margin in that poll.
The Fox post-debate polls were among the most pro-Clinton online. That network is overwhelmingly #NeverTrump. I get the feeling that however the voting turns out in 17 days, and however the vote count turns out (an entirely different issue from the actual voting), the world after Election Day will be very different for both sides in America.
This election will be the last straw for many, including the viewers Fox used to have.
according to this the spread in registered voters is +8 women
http://www.floridavoterfile.com/statistics/florida.htm
This poll, like the other polls, is weighted based on PREDICTIED turnout. This polling company is predicting that blacks will make up 14% of Florida turnout , which was the 2012 turnout. By contrast, there are strong signs in Florida early voting that black turnout is way down. According to Election Smith, blacks as of yesterday had cast 5% of early vote by mail. This number will increase but blacks will not make up 14% of Florida voters this year.