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To: PaulZe
Multiply this times a million or so: People don't feel safe admitting that they will vote for Trump until they have an indication that it's safe to share. I'll say it again: The polls are seriously under-reporting Trump's support, and it's not just because of Democrat oversampling. (See Shy Tory Factor.)


6 posted on 11/03/2016 11:20:10 AM PDT by Genoa (Luke 12:2)
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To: Genoa

Here’s why Shy Trumpster may have an effect on the polls even though the Bradley Effect didn’t work for Obama. If you’re talking to a black person on the phone, you might be more shy to say you’re against Obama. But doubtful for anyone else. And obviously the chance an obvious black voice was polling was slim.

But with Trump, you might be shy to say you support him if a WOMAN is polling you. Women are probably the majority of the people doing the polls.


14 posted on 11/03/2016 11:29:59 AM PDT by JediJones (Social conservatism is the root of all conservatism.)
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