Posted on 11/04/2016 5:42:25 AM PDT by SpeedyInTexas
4th New Hampshire poll out in 4 days. Trump tied or ahead in all 4.
Todays: https://www.uml.edu/docs/TOPLINE-NH-GENERAL-20161103_tcm18-264691.pdf
Tied with Likely Voters, Trump +1 with Registered Voters.
Yes this is spot on.
Nice
Hmm, I think those are more purple of the Dem localities? I seem to recall someone saying Manassas contains a lot of blue collar people.
Thanks. Those are reassuring stats.
The whole state of Florida has seen more people voting early.
I would STILL bet money that REPs win the election day vote - just as they did in 2012. And I like my money!
If that’s what they’re going with, that’s a hail mary.
It’s so nice seeing leftists tell themselves the same lies we did to ourselves in 2012.
Overall still looking pretty good. Democrat gains have been under 10k daily in terms of the in-person early vote. I don’t expect the absentee margins to move significantly at this point.
As you’ve said Sunday could get kinda ugly from an early vote standpoint with the democrat strongholds still open (a lot of the smaller republican-leaning counties are not).
Worst case at this point looks like a 90-100k net swing (to the good) from 2012. Possibly a fair amount better than that.
Another thought on REP numbers looking better than DEMs this year (counter argument to cannibalizing election day).
REP registration numbers are at their highest ever - 4.5 million. Up nearly 300,000 since 2012.
If you’re interested, here’s the Roanoke College poll out today:
http://www.roanoke.edu/about/news/rc_poll_nov_2016_politics
Has 20% “black” vote and 7% Dem advantage.
Not likely.
Is today last day of EV in Florida? It is in Texas.
DEMs led early voting in 2012 by 168k (based on party registration).
Obama won the state by 74k.
Back hand way of calculating REPs won Election Day.
CO numbers out.
Let me calculate...
False alarm. Those are still yesterdays numbers.
Hoping Rs take the lead today.
It's not backhanded, it's factual. Romney won Election Day voting only because Democrats already voted.
Democrats tend to own early voting efforts while Republicans still maintain this outdated notion that "Good Americans" wait until Election Day and then go stand in line for hours after work.
Early voting runs through Sat or Sun in FL, depending on the county.
So, in summary, we have OH locked down. FL looks good. Path to 270 then needs NV, NC, NH, and ME2? Anything else is gravy?
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