Florida Early Vote update, 11/04/2016

11/04/2016 | self

[Tuxedo]

Dems have an early voting machine in place. GOP has yet to discover why that’s important. Let’s face it, DJT is really an Independent.

[mrsmith]

"Michael McDonald ‏@ElectProject · 40m40 minutes ago On top of this, we have wildcard of increase of FL unaffiliated voters voting early, up +651,463 votes over 2012 or 214.4% (not a typo!) "

Wow! 200% I gotta think Dem registration groups would get their suckers to register D, sounds like good news.

[SpeedyInTexas]

You are right.

[Methos8]

OH/FL/NC are basically must wins. Need 10 EV to tie (11 to win) out of this bucket:

NH 4
ME2 1
NV 6
CO 9

This is assuming PA VA WI stay blue.

[SpeedyInTexas]

CO is now out (really this time):

https://content.govdelivery.com/attachments/COSOS/2016/11/04/file_attachments/653036/Ballots%2BReceived%2Bto%2BDate_20161104.pdf

So close.

DEM - 35.68%

REP - 35.26%

Raw vote lead of 6500

We take lead tomorrow then!

[SpeedyInTexas]

Jefferson County, CO

DEM - 34.7%

REP - 33.6%

Raw vote lead of 2,100.

[Ravi]

That is definitely true. Indies in FL historically have leaned R.

[Methos8]

"Michael McDonald ‏@ElectProject · 40m40 minutes ago On top of this, we have wildcard of increase of FL unaffiliated voters voting early, up +651,463 votes over 2012 or 214.4% (not a typo!)

The total (absentee and in-person early vote) number of independents that have voted early is about 955k so far. I don't have the numbers for 2012 but I seriously doubt that my 955k figure is up 214% over 2012.

[SpeedyInTexas]

Nevada looking shaky. Replace NV with CO.

Early voting in NV, DEMs lead REPs by 5%.

CO nearly a tie.

Looking at returns by party registration.

[Ravi]

Just me and my wife. Quick anecdote. When we lived in FL, we registered as unaffiliated.

[who knows what evil?]

ANYONE still voting democrat after today’s Wiki revelations should be considered mentally ill and they should be avoided.

[mrsmith]

I totally mis-read those numbers.
I was thinking ‘registered’ not ‘early voter’.

Still good news.

[Ravi]

NC am results finally out. A little late this am. GOP continues to close gap (way better than 2012).

http://www.ncsbe.gov/
Click absentee stats

[Ravi]

NV may still surprise

[Tuxedo]

NV shaky? Hmmm... hope that turns around on Election Day. CO sometimes I wonder if it’s Fools Gold... like PA and MI. I have hopes though. Trends are favorable. Guess we will know for sure on my b-day (11/9)... would be a nice present.

[LS]

Need to know the gap in 2012 before I can do anything.

Diff is 268,474.

Where were we in 2012?

[LS]

Also, black turnout at 37%. What was it in 12?

[mrsmith]

Gotta say Heck was a fool to divide the Party.
All of the Senate candidates were, even Kirk who had at least some justification.

[kabar]

Monster vote.

[kabar]

Democrats use early voting to commit voter fraud.