[Ravi]

Quick Iowa history of early voting. Iowa Dems have to run up early voting margins because GOP does extremely well on election day. This happened in 2004, 2008 and 2012. We caught up in 2004 but failed in 2008/2012. So the goal here is to keep it close.

These numbers are REQUESTS for absentee ballots. Most requested ballots are returned (upwards of 90%) especially in Iowa. I will post ABSENTEE RETURNS on Monday. So here are numbers comparing cumulative ABSENTEE REQUESTS at equivalent points in the respective election cycles (Friday before General election):

11/4/16: Dem 270,014; Rep 220,678 UAF/Other 151,900

11/2/12: Dem 301,767; Rep 219,354 UAF/Other 186,262

Again Dems down 31,000 and Reps slightly higher and Unaffiliateds also down 35,000 all from 2012.

At least in 2008/2012, Obama's goal was to push up the Independent vote in addition to his Democratic strength. It appears that has not translated to 2016.

[Ravi]

ping

[humblegunner]

According to whom?
Nice 3-word thread.

[badad]

hopefully there will be a substantial dem crossover. if i were a dem i’d crossover.

[Trumpisourlastchance]

Thank you Ravi