It is going to be close. I wish we had kept the DEM lead closer to 30,000. That being said, if Trump’s outperforms Romney among independents, he may squeak out a win.
The large turnout among unaffiliated voters in NC, puts NC somewhat in the same vote. It would seem to me a surge in independent voters is to Trump’s advantage.
In NC though, Rep vote narrowed the gap to D by 140k votes from 2012 even without independents.