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Analysis: A Complete Breakdown of PA’s Presidential Results (Maps)
Politics PA ^ | January 1, 2017 | Nick Field

Posted on 01/02/2017 10:48:30 AM PST by OddLane

On November 8th, Donald Trump became the first Republican to win Pennsylvania since 1988, emerging victorious by just 44,292 votes. To put that in perspective, the last time the GOP won PA: the Berlin Wall was still up, Jimmy Stewart was still alive and I wasn’t even born yet.

How did the Keystone State shift from blue to red after so long? That’s what this piece aims to find out. Regional Breakdown:

There’s an oft-cited apocryphal James Carville quote that Pennsylvania is Philadelphia and Pittsburgh with Alabama in the middle. Like many myths, this one takes a kernel of truth and stretches it too thin.

I spent much of 2016 arguing that PA was defined more by an Appalachia/Acela divide. While I feel my characterization is closer to the truth, the map proves that the commonwealth isn’t so simple.

(Excerpt) Read more at politicspa.com ...


TOPICS: Government; US: Pennsylvania
KEYWORDS: 2016paelection; clinton; paping; pennsylvania; trump; waroncoal
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1 posted on 01/02/2017 10:48:30 AM PST by OddLane
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To: OddLane

Pennsyltucky finally outvoted the corruption in Philly and Pittsburgh.


2 posted on 01/02/2017 10:52:09 AM PST by Lurkinanloomin (Natural Born Citizen Means Born Here Of Citizen Parents)
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To: Lurkinanloomin

Well, there is a road map for prosecuting voter fraud.


3 posted on 01/02/2017 11:00:00 AM PST by ptsal
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To: Lurkinanloomin

A lot of precincts in Philadelphia vote more folks than they have registered from what I read and the Black Panthers rule there.
Never be conned into getting away from the Electoral College America.


4 posted on 01/02/2017 11:02:19 AM PST by Herman Ball
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To: OddLane

Simple, they miscalculated the amount of vote fraud they would need.

Hopefully, the Trump admin makes cleaning up the rigged election system a priority.


5 posted on 01/02/2017 11:02:38 AM PST by Mechanicos
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To: OddLane

Interesting breakdown. Seems that 2 groups went hard democrat - deadbeats and elite educrats. Everyone else leaned towards Trump.


6 posted on 01/02/2017 11:06:12 AM PST by meyer (The Constitution says what it says, and it doesn't say what it doesn't say.)
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To: OddLane
My Theory is that the War On Coal lost Democrats Pennsylvania:


7 posted on 01/02/2017 11:10:32 AM PST by Uncle Miltie (Higher Taxes, Less Freedom, More Bureaucracy! What could possibly go wrong?)
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To: OddLane
In a nutshell, I know the margin of victory looks small, but think of it this way. In 2008 the dems carried PA by ~600K votes and 2012 by ~300K votes.

In 8 years, Republicans made a ~640K turnaround in votes. Hopefully in 2018, we'll win by an even larger margin, and the trend continues.

8 posted on 01/02/2017 11:13:20 AM PST by wright2bear (#NeverTrump is a mental disorder!)
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To: Herman Ball

If the illegal Democrat votes were removed for the PA election totals, Trump would have wiped out Clinton by 500,000 votes. Phildelphia has more illegal votes cast then legal votes. End of story!!! Democrat Party across the entire nation needs to be totaly destroyed, & Trump will do it!!!


9 posted on 01/02/2017 11:15:37 AM PST by JLAGRAYFOX (Defeat both the Republican (e) & Democrat (e) political parties....Forever!!!)
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To: OddLane

The pols in Pittsburg and Philly misjudged how many votes they needed to manufacture. That is the main reason.


10 posted on 01/02/2017 11:22:04 AM PST by arthurus
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To: arthurus

Trump and the RNC made a huge effort to get Repub poll watchers in Dem stronghold precincts. When the counts came in for Philly precincts before much of the western part of the state, I suspected that they weren’t able to carry out a tried and true vote fraud scheme, which is for the election chief judges (when sometimes both are dems) to vote many times after the polls have closed. Think about how many times Dem strongholds report their election results hours after the rest of the state. They seem to wait to find out how many fraudulent votes they need. With actual R poll watchers and/or poll workers, that extra voting is not possible.


11 posted on 01/02/2017 11:36:12 AM PST by Freee-dame (Drain the swamp!)
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To: OddLane
Coal and steel and unions.....Hillary made a serious mistake. (No coal for you)

Generations of Pennsylvanians remembered when it WAS a great state.

It can be great again.

12 posted on 01/02/2017 11:40:56 AM PST by Sacajaweau
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To: OddLane

I live in Pa, and on election night I told me wife this: there aren’t enough minorities in Pittsburgh and Philly to overcome the rest of us who are totally pissed off.


13 posted on 01/02/2017 11:48:49 AM PST by jimbug
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To: Freee-dame

The Dems try to work a version of that game down here in the southern counties but they have to anticipate the Northwest counties’ vote because of the time zones. It didn’t work this year. Mostly they just manufacture as many votes as they think they can get away with and they throw out most of the absentee votes that come from Republicans. They got caught with the latter ploy this year but catching them did not repair any of the damage done.


14 posted on 01/02/2017 11:56:06 AM PST by arthurus
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To: Sacajaweau

I sum up the problem the Dems had in the midwest (Pennsylvania west of the Susquehanna is culturally part of the midwest) as most of it saw no recovery, and found the claims of one to be insulting or a sign of disconnect, or they had a recovery and viewed it as in spite of Dem policies as it was due to fracking.


15 posted on 01/02/2017 12:10:29 PM PST by Fraxinus (My opinion, worth what you paid.)
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To: arthurus; Lurkinanloomin; ptsal; Herman Ball; Mechanicos; JLAGRAYFOX; Freee-dame

Progressives like to point to statistics that there are few vote fraud convictions, which is true. Historically, both R and D prosecutors at county, state and US Attorney levels do not prosecute vote fraud.

Jeff Sessions confirmation will focus on his vote fraud experience. So as AG, will Sessions have his office focus on vote fraud?

Republicans have many state and county prosecutors who could and should prosecute vote fraud.

Until it is prosecuted effectively, vote fraud will continue.


16 posted on 01/02/2017 12:58:08 PM PST by spintreebob
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To: spintreebob

Draining the swamp should include getting rid of the voter fraud.


17 posted on 01/02/2017 1:09:57 PM PST by ptsal
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To: ptsal

Oh yes.... target the fancy college campuses for the prosecution and make the penalty for voter fraud be a loss of student loan eligibility.

It has to be high profile and hurt.


18 posted on 01/02/2017 1:12:59 PM PST by ptsal
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To: OddLane

Excellent analysis, but I disagree with one concept the article postulated.

“So just why were there so many voters who switched from Barack Obama to Donald Trump?”

I don’t think there were many people who went from Obama to Trump. It is more likely that people who did not vote in 2008 and 2012 voted in 2016 and vice versa. They are a different set of people. We know both candidates brought lots of new voters out.


19 posted on 01/02/2017 1:17:50 PM PST by Steven Scharf
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To: Steven Scharf

Agree with you!

Different turnout model.


20 posted on 01/02/2017 1:37:25 PM PST by SomeCallMeTim ( The best minds are not in government. If any were, business would hire them!)
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