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Risking a nuclear attack now vs later. (SOMEONE has to say it.)
Dangus

Posted on 08/10/2017 8:07:36 AM PDT by dangus

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To: backwoods-engineer

Ah NO. Evidently You were not alive in the 50s and 60s. We had ABMSs THEN against Russian ICBMS. We have them NOW:http://www.cnn.com/2017/05/30/politics/pentagon-missile-test-north-korea-iran/index.html

Secondly, a Nuclear device would affect all the surrounding countries. Sheesh.

How did we deal with this in the 50s and 60s during the COLD WAR with Russia? he he They had way more sophisticated ICBMs than the NORKS? At one point we had bombers in the air 24/7 armed with Nuclear weapons that flew over the North Pole and back. Most here do not remember that.

Throughout the late 1950s and into the 1960s, the United States and the Soviet Union had been developing missile systems with the ability to shoot down incoming ICBM warheads. During this period, the US considered the defense of the US as part of reducing the overall damage inflicted in a full nuclear exchange. As part of this defense, Canada and the US established the North American Air Defense Command (now called North American Aerospace Defense Command).

By the early 1950s, US research on the Nike Zeus missile system had developed to the point where small improvements would allow it to be used as the basis of an operational ABM system. Work started on a short-range, high-speed counterpart known as Sprint to provide defense for the ABM sites themselves. By the mid-1960s, both systems showed enough promise to start development of base selection for a limited ABM system dubbed Sentinel. In 1967, the US announced that Sentinel itself would be scaled down to the smaller and less expensive Safeguard. Soviet doctrine called for development of its own ABM system and return to strategic parity with the US. This was achieved with the operational deployment of the A-35 ABM system and its successors, which remain operational to this day.


21 posted on 08/10/2017 9:16:24 AM PDT by hawg-farmer - FR..October 1998 (---->VMFA 235 '69 -'72 KMCAS <--- F4 PHANTOM... FLYING BRICK)
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To: Vinnie

>> The Goldsboro bomb was an H-bomb that did not explode. I don’t see how you can compare an unexploded effects w/ an exploded one. <<

You misread me. The Goldsboro bomb caused ZERO deaths. I was reporting what it WOULD have caused had it detonated.

>> Had it exploded I’ll bet on a prevailing Easterly breeze Raleigh and surrounding would deserted today. On a S.Westerly breeze the Outer Banks would be off-limits.

Uh, no. There is a large, thriving, more populous-than-ever city right where the Hiroshima bomb detonated. Yours are precisely the false presumptions that I was correcting. The Goldsboro bomb may have been as much as 100 kt, not 15 kt, but the effect is LESS than 100/15, not MORE, nor exponential, as many people seem to think.


22 posted on 08/10/2017 9:19:11 AM PDT by dangus
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To: DCBryan1

Excellent post. And its important to clarify for the know-nothings that the immediate effects of a ground burst would be LESS deadly.


23 posted on 08/10/2017 9:22:19 AM PDT by dangus
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To: DoodleDawg

Send a small non-nuke bomb to Kim’s kitchen and so limiting collaterals.


24 posted on 08/10/2017 9:29:31 AM PDT by bgill (CDC site, "We don't know how people are infected with Ebola.")
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To: precisionshootist
I think these EMP predictions are way way overblown. I put EMP in the same class as the Y2K threat.

IC circuits, very low voltage computer circuits are much more vulnerable than manual switching circuits in the past.

IIRC an airburst H-bomb over the Pacific took out the grid in Hawaii, radios in Australia .

25 posted on 08/10/2017 9:35:49 AM PDT by Vinnie
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To: dfwgator

The dictators like to use “Sacrificial Pawns” or “Cats Paws” to do their dirty work.

Look at the Cubans in Africa doing the Soviet Union’s work.

Humans love symmetry, and that Korean Peninsula doesn’t look symmetrical to the Chinese.


26 posted on 08/10/2017 9:36:07 AM PDT by blueunicorn6 ("A crack shot and a good dancer")
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To: blueunicorn6

China’s been hedging their bets with the South Koreans.

What they really want is a solution that unites Korea until control of the current South Korean government, but with the US out of the Peninsula, and South Korea, at least neutral, if not in the Chinese sphere of influence.


27 posted on 08/10/2017 9:40:23 AM PDT by dfwgator
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To: dfwgator

s/b

“What they really want is a solution that unites Korea under control of the current South Korean government”


28 posted on 08/10/2017 9:40:48 AM PDT by dfwgator
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To: dangus

About EMP:

The doom scenarios you read about EMP were based on hypothetical weapons designed to maximize the effects of EMP. In a Soviet test of a 300 kt mega-bomb, there was a surge triggering fuses and over-voltage protectors along the entirely of a 350-mile electrical system set up to monitor the strength of the EMP. But this bomb was 20 times more powerful than anything the North Koreans would be likely to have, and was detonated at an altitude that resulted in a Korean ICBM making it no further than the Sea of Japan. Oh yeah... and the nearby city of Karaganda (now Kazakhstan) was utterly unprepared for such a thing.

Just in case you missed that: The Soviet Union DELIBERATELY triggered an EMP over 20 times stronger than a North Korean warhead over its breadbasket at a time when there were NO protections from EMP. There were economic reprecussions: a fire in a Karaganda generating plant. That’s it.

This EMP talk shows the dangers North Korea could EVENTUALLY present, but it does not currently present those dangers.


29 posted on 08/10/2017 9:41:48 AM PDT by dangus
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To: dangus

To be honest with you, I don’t fear Kim Nutchucks at all.

I live near Seattle, which would be one of his first targets.

But to get a bomb the right size, and to launch it to hit Seattle, would be almost an impossible feat.

I fear an EMP burst way more.
Or what the Chinese or Russians might do.


30 posted on 08/10/2017 9:42:39 AM PDT by djf ("She wore a raspberry beret, the kind you find in a second hand store..." - Prince)
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To: dfwgator

Would China be the boss, in that case? Is Kim their wind up madman toy?


31 posted on 08/10/2017 9:47:10 AM PDT by Yaelle (We have a Crisis of Information in this country. Our enemies hold the megaphone.)
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To: Yaelle
Would China be the boss, in that case? Is Kim their wind up madman toy?

That's what my gut is saying. On the other hand, there are others in the Nork government that are even more hardline and anti-China, and those are the dangerous ones. Is Kim merely a figurehead?

32 posted on 08/10/2017 9:48:28 AM PDT by dfwgator
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To: Shanty Shaker

I think those tests were at ground level of only a little above.


33 posted on 08/10/2017 9:56:01 AM PDT by arthurus
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To: Vinnie

Norkea d0es not have an H-bomb. Yet. I am a believer that Norkea doesn’t have anything that China has not given to it.


34 posted on 08/10/2017 9:58:28 AM PDT by arthurus
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To: blueunicorn6

The Chinese are doing their own work in Africa now. They have pretty close to colonized much of southern Africa.


35 posted on 08/10/2017 10:04:59 AM PDT by arthurus
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To: DCBryan1

Yep, I’m currently the owner of two cars, both (very well) made in Hiroshima. There’s a general funk in the West about anything containing the word “nuclear” or “atomic”, whatever. Looks like the rest of the world just moves on.


36 posted on 08/10/2017 10:07:57 AM PDT by Riflema
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To: arthurus

The Chinese have a history with Korea.

The Koreans are going to be a bit wary of them.

The Africans just think the Chinese are Santa Claus.


37 posted on 08/10/2017 10:10:18 AM PDT by blueunicorn6 ("A crack shot and a good dancer")
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To: Shanty Shaker
Is there a scientific reason the EMP blasts from the tests in the Southwest did not knock out the grid in the US? What is the difference?

They were not detonated at high altitude. They were detonated near the surface, or far UNDER the surface. Only a small number of nuclear weapon tests were conducted above the atmosphere, all in the south Pacific. At least one of them produced EMP effects which affected Hawaii.

38 posted on 08/10/2017 10:17:09 AM PDT by NorthMountain (The Democrats ... have lost their grip on reality -DJT)
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To: dangus
its important to clarify for the know-nothings

It's really kind of hard to take your post seriously when you include this among your assumptions: Making a nuclear bomb explode is a very difficult thing to achieve, requiring precision engineered parts working in a very precise order to explode. Any small error in design, manufacture or operation results in a big nothing. Best way to disarm a nuclear bomb? Run it into the ground at terminal velocity. Ground penetrating nuclear weapons are a lot harder to make than a weapon that can identify its position above the ground and explode at its programmed height.

I'd go into some of your other assumptions, but why bother? You are crediting the North Koreans with only first level thinking and then telling us that we should bet the lives of millions of people on this simplistic notion. Do you really think that if you can see all these problems with North Korea's nuclear war fighting capabilities that they can't also see them and that they haven't thought about ways to work around them?
39 posted on 08/10/2017 11:23:26 AM PDT by Garth Tater (What's mine is mine.)
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To: backwoods-engineer
See, the thing is, if the Norks played their cards right, they could pop a nuke, even a small one, about 400 miles above Kansas.

Can it wait until after basketball season? The Shockers are set to have a great season and they've joined a new conference (AAC). Its just a bad time for an EMP right now.
40 posted on 08/10/2017 11:28:34 AM PDT by Old Yeller (Auto-correct has become my worst enema.)
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