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Collisions: Part I—What Are the Root Causes? (Fitzgerald,McCain)
Proceedings Magazine - August 2017 usni ^ | August 28 2017 | Captain Kevin Eyer

Posted on 08/28/2017 6:46:56 AM PDT by Presbyterian Reporter

In the past two months, two major U.S. warships have collided with merchant vessels. In both cases, lives were lost; personnel were injured; and ships sustained major damages. In both cases, the Navy assigned teams to determine the causes of the accidents.

In theory, these investigations are undertaken to determine what errors were made, by whom, and whether any conclusions or lessons learned might be drawn that would allow for similar disasters to be avoided in the future. While the intent of these investigations is plain—determining the raw material of facts and recommending the assignments of guilt—the question is whether they will produce anything else useful.

Unfortunately, the errors uncovered, while inevitably “correct,” will inevitably be laid at the feet of a ship’s leadership. By tradition, it is always the case that the commanding officer (CO) failed in the execution of his or her responsibility. While that may be a satisfying conclusion, the truth is that these investigations are brittle and thin; they seldom reveal significant larger truths.

These investigations are conducted in something of a vacuum, and consequently, larger connections are seldom sought or considered. First, the mere question of those larger connections often is considered to be beyond the scope of a single investigation. Second, those connections might turn out to be “ugly,” which could take the Navy in directions leading to the most unwanted sort of questions and public curiosity.

The Root Causes

At this point, it is possible the USS John S. McCain (DDG-56) and the USS Fitzgerald (DDG-62) collisions were coincidental accidents—i.e., lightning-bolts of disaster simply struck in rapid succession in Seventh Fleet. Having said that, the similarities between the Fitzgerald and John S. McCain collisions are suspicious and naturally beg questions that need to be asked.

It is possible something bigger than simple miscalculation on the part of two destroyers’ watch teams may be afoot. There is a growing suspicion among a small circle of current and former COs that chickens may be coming home to roost.

To some extent, one can understand that the Navy may not want to turn over too many stones in these cases because it already is suffering a metaphysical and evidently incurable cancer named “Fat Leonard.” Seven full years into that investigation even more indictments are expected. Further, the Navy’s carefully described strategy of “distributed maritime operations” may be foundering on the rocks of fiscal reality. Understandably, Navy leaders must be asking themselves whether the Navy can endure the unearthing of yet another ugly issue.

Still, if one were to consider that the John S. McCain and Fitzgerald (and USS Antietam [CG-54], which ran aground in March, resulting in another CO’s relief) were parts of a larger pattern, it would be understood that the problem could not easily be laid at the foot of a single root cause, like CO incompetence. Seasoned observers understand that, if these disasters are parts of a pattern, then the causes are multiple.

As it turns out, these possible issues should be well known by the Navy’s leadership. In 2010, then-retired Navy Vice Admiral Phil Balisle was asked to take a hard look at the state of the surface community. Admiral Balisle was uniquely qualified for this task. Not only had he succeeded brilliantly in multiple at-sea commands—including in a guided-missile destroyer, a cruiser, and a carrier strike group—but he also possessed expertise in combat management systems, ballistic missile defense, and shipboard engineering. In fact, he served as the Navy’s chief engineer when he assumed command of Naval Seas Systems Command. Not only did Admiral Balisle know what he was looking at, but he also had the independence to speak truthfully and without fear of repercussions. Specifically, he was charged by then-Chief of Naval Operations Admiral Gary Roughhead to constitute a “Fleet Review Panel to assess surface force readiness across the man, train, equip domain areas, and provide recommended corrective actions.”

The report was an eye-opening dose of the unvarnished truth. The report was as celebrated as it was ultimately ignored. Nevertheless, Admiral Balisle’s conclusions should give a healthy clue as to what might still be troubling the Navy’s ships: training was drastically insufficient; ship maintenance had no constituency and was therefore persistently given the shortest of shrift; and the operational tempo for ships was crushing.

The Training Element

The history of training in the Navy is long and complex. Starting with World War II and continuing at an accelerating rate thereafter, technological advancements have exceeded the ability of commissioning programs to provide officers up to the task of operating upon arrival at their respective commands. The submarine and aviation communities, which since their respective inceptions had been confronted by advanced technologies beyond the scope of accession training, instituted professional courses of instruction to train and qualify their officers. This, however, was not the case for those officers serving in surface ships, who were increasingly challenged by the advent of advancing radar, sonar, gun, missile, and data link systems.

Eventually, it became apparent that additional professional training would be required by surface officers to maximize the operational capabilities of these new systems. In 1961, the Naval Destroyer Officers School, the forefather of the present Surface Warfare Officers School Command, was established. This was followed in 1970 by the first Surface Warfare Division Officer School (SWOSDOC) class. For the next 30 years, this was how division officers were trained for their first tours at sea.

In 2003, SWOSDOC was shuttered, largely for financial reasons, but also in a mistaken attempt to create efficiencies. SWOSDOC was replaced by computer-based training (CBT). Instead of attending SWOS and associated billet specialty programs for upward of 12-14 months of rigorous training prior to reporting on board their first ships, new officers went directly from commissioning sources to their ships with only a packet of computer disks. Now it was incumbent on the ship’s CO to replace a year’s worth of intensive dawn-to-dusk training, in addition to his or her other considerable responsibilities.

Vice Admiral Timothy LaFleur, who as Commander, Naval Surface Force Pacific Fleet, was the author of this decision described the change as one that would “result in higher professional satisfaction, increase the return on investment during the first division officer tour, and free up more career time downstream.” First-tour division officers would still go to Surface Warfare Officers School Command, but only after six months into their first assignment and then for only four to six weeks (later reduced to three) as a kind of “finishing school.” Mostly CBT saved money, and it was estimated that $15 million would be saved by shutting down SWOSDOC and shifting responsibility to the ships’ COs.

Soon officers who opposed this change were excoriated for not “getting it.” A decision had been made, and it was not to be questioned by the rank and file. Silence and obedience were enforced.

Then, CBT failed and failed badly. Commanding officers simply did not have the capability, capacity, or time to replace basic surface warfare officer training in their respective commands. But the Djini was out of the bottle, and the costs to reestablish SWODOC, both in terms of money and embarrassment, were simply too great to bear. Band-aid solutions were found. Eventually, an element of classroom training was reinstituted with the establishment of a four-week course established to provide “3M, division officer fundamentals, basic watchstanding and leadership” to ensigns en route to their first ships.

This training still was not enough. In 2010, Admiral John Harvey, Commander, U.S. Fleet Forces Command, publically condemned the CBT program as a “flat-out failure” during a House Armed Services Committee hearing on fleet readiness. Admiral Harvey went on to say that the Navy had failed by sending unprepared ensigns to ships, placing the burden of their training on commanding officers. Things were bad in the surface force, and it was at this point that Admiral Balisle was invited to examine the problem.

By 2012, the current approach to surface warfare officer training was set in place. The CBT method was terminated and replaced by more traditional Basic and Advanced Division Officer Courses (BDOC and ADOC), which are held in two segments before and after the prospective SWO’s first division officer tour.

This training is still not nearly enough. The results are plain to those commanding officers who have the experience of a more robust training process. For example, there is an almost inexplicable overreliance on electronic aids, including automated radar systems and the automatic identification system (AIS) on the part of these new-school officers. Proven techniques, including the use of maneuvering boards, lookouts, adherence to the “Rules of the Road,” and, most important, watch-standers actually looking out the bridge window, are mysteriously archaic to officers who have become convinced that technology cannot fail them. Commanding officers can no longer serve as safety back-stops. Instead, they must be the “super OODs” in any risky evolution, lest disaster befall their ships.

This shedding of methods that kept mariners safe for years, for the lure of easy technology, is dramatically complicated by the fact that these officers are on a qualification time-clock from the moment they arrive in their first ships. The either qualify quickly or their COs are forced to qualify them. Consequently, much of these officers’ first tours are spent checking what can only be dimly understood blocks, without developing a deeper understanding of what they’re doing, and why.

Then, when next at sea as department heads, these officers spend their time largely standing watch as tactical action officers, learning how to “fight the ship.” After this, they are selected for command. The days of an executive officer tour, which could serve as the last fire-break of judgment prior to an officer attaining command, are over. These officers, who came to ships without the benefit of the deep and challenging training provided to their predecessors, are soon to arrive in their own commands. Collectively, they have spent little time as an officer of the deck. Collectively, they don’t understand concepts such as relative motion. It is entirely possible that few of them have ever conducted a “Med Moor” or moored to a buoy or even executed a Form Foxtrot. In short, these undertrained officers never had the opportunity to become real, serious, expert OODs, absorbing the lessons that will keep his or her ship out of harm’s way when disaster looms.

Whose Fault Is This?

While the commanding officers of ships such as the John S. McCain and Fitzgerald may themselves have had the full benefit of the old system of training—of SWOSDOC—they preside over wardrooms of officers who have no such training. In short, when the crunch came, they were supported by officers who did not possess the wherewithal—sufficient real experience to assess problem situations and act promptly on them to avoid catastrophe—to truly support the COs.

As an aside, there is chatter regarding a steering casualty that may have occurred in John S. McCain just prior to the collision. Whether this is true or not matters little. These ships have several modes of steering—computer-assisted automatic, controlled by computers; computer assisted manual, also controlled by computers. Then there is backup manual, which takes the computer out of the loop and controls steering through old-fashioned synchros. In addition, there are redundant channels in all bridge steering modes. Finally, there are two steering modes where control is taken from the bridge and is held locally in after steering. Both of these modes are also manual, and one actually takes all electronics out of the loop and is hydraulic.

One of the most basic skills that traditionally has been exercised in every ship, during every underway operation, and daily thereafter is the drill known as “loss of steering control.” In that drill, every steering mode is sequentially tested. It takes no more than a minute or two for a well-trained crew to regain steering control, even if it means going all the way to the last possible local mode.

It is also worth mentioning that even if all steering was lost, which is highly unlikely, a trained crew would simply stop engines and turn on signal lights indicating the ship was “not under command.” All other traffic would then steer clear of her.

In short, and barring some unexpected aspect uncovered during the John S. McCain investigation, it is possible that two guided-missile destroyers’ collisions are harbingers. It is possible that we have arrived at a place where our COs are poor and inexperienced mariners, and that this situation was authored by none other than their own, the surface community’s leadership.

Captain Eyer served in seven cruisers, commanding three Aegis cruisers: the USS Thomas S. Gates (CG-51), Shiloh (CG-67), and Chancellorsville (CG-62).

Editor’s Note: Part II of this feature will be published tomorrow on Proceedings Today . Part III will be published on Proceedings Today on 29 August.


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: mccainfitzgerald
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The author's conclusion for part 1--

"""In short, and barring some unexpected aspect uncovered during the John S. McCain investigation, it is possible that two guided-missile destroyers’ collisions are harbingers. It is possible that we have arrived at a place where our COs are poor and inexperienced mariners, and that this situation was authored by none other than their own, the surface community’s leadership."""

Part 2 and 3 begins tomorrow-- Editor’s Note: Part II of this feature will be published tomorrow on Proceedings Today . Part III will be published on Proceedings Today on 29 August.

1 posted on 08/28/2017 6:46:57 AM PDT by Presbyterian Reporter
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To: Presbyterian Reporter

Bad Link...
-
The page you requested does not exist.


2 posted on 08/28/2017 6:52:25 AM PDT by Repeal The 17th (I was conceived in liberty, how about you?)
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To: Presbyterian Reporter

The coming court martials will never make public what really happened on the bridges of those ships. The politically correct narrative that dictates Navy policy includes diversity, affirmative action, tolerance but not seamanship. Too many senior careers were based on riding the political winds and would be destroyed if the truth came out.


3 posted on 08/28/2017 6:52:30 AM PDT by allendale (.)
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To: Repeal The 17th

try this link—

https://www.usni.org/magazines/proceedings/2017-08/collisions-part-i—what-are-root-causes


4 posted on 08/28/2017 6:55:43 AM PDT by Presbyterian Reporter
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To: Presbyterian Reporter

Page not found.


5 posted on 08/28/2017 6:57:01 AM PDT by Does so (McAuliffe's Charlottesville...and...The Walter Duranty Press"...)
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To: Presbyterian Reporter; rlmorel; TXnMA; Norseman

fyi


6 posted on 08/28/2017 6:58:52 AM PDT by Presbyterian Reporter
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To: Does so

https://www.usni.org/magazines/proceedings/2017-08/collisions-part-i—what-are-root-causes


7 posted on 08/28/2017 6:59:47 AM PDT by Presbyterian Reporter
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To: Presbyterian Reporter

Inbred hokum.


8 posted on 08/28/2017 7:05:21 AM PDT by Mashood
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To: Presbyterian Reporter; Bodleian_Girl
There is a very clear discussion of the foul up here < a href="http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3581024/posts?page=25#25"> posted by Bodleian Girl.

THE USS FITZGERALD INCIDENT — A YOKOSUKA SURFACE OFFICER’S TAKE

read the whole article, but here is the essence of it - and, as a former OOD nuclear submariner, with also a lot of time on the deck of a surface ship, I wholeheartedly endorse it:

The Underway Officer of the Deck F***ed UP so bad it’s difficult to imagine. I’ve [the original author] been OOD in and out of Yokosuka—USS REEVES (CG-24); about the same displacement—a hundred times; during all times of day, night, adverse weather, and wee hours. In fact, coming into Yokosuka, 4 am in that part of the entry lanes is quite common, so we’d be tied up by the morning’s work day and shipyard workers could get busy.

The Captain f***ed up by having someone so incompetent as OOD. They both need to go down hard, full force; because there is no excuse....

This shit is easy to avoid, even in very heavy choke-point shipping traffic in and out. Surface radar easily has a 30k ton container ship painted 20-30 miles out, and you can see them with your own eyeballs 10-12 miles out. Once you do a minute of scope head plotting with the grease pencil, you can see how close you’ll come to each other if both vessels maintain course and speed. If inside of 10,000 yards (5 nautical miles), all it takes is a 2-5 degree course change, early, to port or starboard, to keep him outside of that envelope. ....Court martial. Leavenworth time. Maintain the integrity and professionalism of the US Navy at sea.

9 posted on 08/28/2017 7:26:00 AM PDT by AndyJackson
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To: Presbyterian Reporter

“Need of the Navy.” Yes, both fliers and submariners have specific training before going to their first sea tour. But the surface Navy needs more JOs now. There is neither the money nor time to train them first. We fliers scratch our heads about collisions at sea. How can a ship doing 12 knots collide with something when we, going 300-700 knots, don’t? Because we fliers have gone through several years of training before hitting the Fleet? Probably.


10 posted on 08/28/2017 7:30:02 AM PDT by pabianice (LINE)
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To: Presbyterian Reporter

“In 2003, SWOSDOC was shuttered, largely for financial reasons,,,,,,,,
officers went directly from commissioning sources to their ships with only a packet of computer disks........
Now it was incumbent on the ship’s CO to replace a year’s worth of intensive dawn-to-dusk training, in addition to his or her other considerable responsibilities”.

Well there it is.......poor/bad training, all leads to Obama’s door... This is criminal
The Admirals should have been screaming ... maybe they were and the MSM just covered his ass as usual


11 posted on 08/28/2017 7:32:03 AM PDT by Robe (A nation can survive its fools and even the ambitious. But it cannot survive treason from within.)
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To: AndyJackson

Hey friend, thanks for your service!

#Navy


12 posted on 08/28/2017 7:34:52 AM PDT by Bodleian_Girl (Don't check the news, check Cernovich on Twitter)
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To: Presbyterian Reporter
To some extent, one can understand that the Navy may not want to turn over too many stones in these cases because it already is suffering a metaphysical and evidently incurable cancer named “Fat Leonard.”

What?

13 posted on 08/28/2017 7:35:04 AM PDT by GOPJ (Statues today - books tomorrow - the unmasking of totalitarian elites is starting...)
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To: pabianice
From the article: "it was estimated that $15 million would be saved by shutting down SWOSDOC and shifting responsibility to the ships’ COs."

One needless grounding, the repairs from one negligent collision, without accounting for the horrendous loss of life (payouts of death benefits, recruiting and training of replacements, damaged reputation, impact on recruiting - subs are bad enough, but what mom wants to think her son is in danger of being drowned by flooding on a surface vessel) any one of these pays that $15 M many times over again.

And these poor clueless untrained souls are put in the position of having to fight the ship if they face a combat situation.

Our much feared Navy is on the verge of becoming a laughing stock and I hope Admiral Richardson takes that as personally as does anyone who has served and watch our Navy go to ruin.

14 posted on 08/28/2017 7:35:56 AM PDT by AndyJackson
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To: Presbyterian Reporter
https://www.newscientist.com/article/2143499-ships-fooled-in-gps-spoofing-attack-suggest-russian-cyberweapon/

“On 22 June, the US Maritime Administration filed a seemingly bland incident report. The master of a ship off the Russian port of Novorossiysk had discovered his GPS put him in the wrong spot – more than 32 kilometres inland, at Gelendzhik Airport.”

“After checking the navigation equipment was working properly, the captain contacted other nearby ships. Their AIS traces – signals from the automatic identification system used to track vessels – placed them all at the same airport. At least 20 ships were affected.”

15 posted on 08/28/2017 7:38:58 AM PDT by GOPJ (Statues today - books tomorrow - the unmasking of totalitarian elites is starting...)
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To: GOPJ
one can understand that the Navy may not want to turn over too many stones

Every officer with a fighting spirit in the Navy - ok, but bear with me here - would demand that every stone be overturned and every creature that crawls or slithers out be dealt with so that this stuff stops happening. We know that asking that it never happen again is asking too much because this is the natural evolution of all military organizations throughout history as a result of too much peace-time.

16 posted on 08/28/2017 7:40:41 AM PDT by AndyJackson
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To: GOPJ

Look that is a problem, but for two things. Military GPS is encrypted to avoid these problems, and GPS has nothing to do with avoiding collisions at sea. The eyeball of the OOD [see article above] is the principal line of defense.


17 posted on 08/28/2017 7:42:06 AM PDT by AndyJackson
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To: allendale

Placing on leadership responsibility for things that are irrelevant to the mission is probably part of the problem.

Another part of the problem may be that our education system has not produced people qualified to do their jobs. To do their jobs, they may need to be both book smart and street smart. Some may have one, but not both of those.

My artillery unit in Nam was located in a valley beside steep hillsides. They got a call for a mission on the far side of the hill. The experienced enlisted men loaded extra and pointed near vertical to shoot up and over the hillside, which took the extra.

The new Lieutenant told them the shortest distance between two points was a straight line. He ordered them to use a normal load and lower the angle. The enlisted men objected but the Lt gave a direct order and they eventually obeyed.

They shot up the hillside and greatly angered the ROK troops camped on that hillside.

But the Lt was right. The shortest distance between two points is a straight line. And a low arc shot requires less than a near vertical up and over shot.

But with all that said, consider that McNamara in DC was repeatedly making that type of Lt mistake with his whiz kids all the time he was running the war from DC.


18 posted on 08/28/2017 7:45:46 AM PDT by spintreebob
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To: Presbyterian Reporter
It is also worth mentioning that even if all steering was lost...

It is also worth mentioning that with gas turbines and twin variable pitch props, you can steer the ship with the engines. Probably cannot go at high speed if the rudder is stuck hard over, but can turn on the ship's axis while dead in the water, and can do some maneuvering at low speed. If loss of steering with the rudder within a couple of degrees of amidships and you are really good to go.

19 posted on 08/28/2017 7:46:54 AM PDT by AndyJackson
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To: AndyJackson

This has little or nothing to do with the root cause, but appears to be part of the under water damage both ships received.

https://www.maritimeprofessional.com/blogs/post/bulbous-bow-13705

Thanks for your service and opinions shared.


20 posted on 08/28/2017 8:07:14 AM PDT by wita (Always and forever, under oath in defense of Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness.)
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