California: Dianne Feinstein (Won by 63% in 2012) (Intent for 2018 unknown) Current age: 83
Connecticut: Chris Murphy (Won by 55% in 2012) (Running in 2018) Current age: 43
Delaware: Tom Carper (Won by 66% in 2012) (Intent for 2018 unknown) Current age: 70
Florida: Bill Nelson (Won by 55% in 2012) (Running in 2018) Current age: 74
Hawaii: Mazie Hirono (Won by 63% in 2012) (Running in 2018) Current age: 69
Indiana: Joe Donnelly (Won by 50% in 2012) (Running in 2018) Current age: 61
Maryland: Ben Cardin (Won by 56% in 2012) (Intent for 2018 unknown) Current age: 73
Massachusetts: Elizabeth Warren (Won by 54% in 2012) (Running in 2018) Current age: 67
Michigan: Debbie Stabenow (Won by 59% in 2012) (Intent for 2018 unknown) Current age: 66
Minnesota: Amy Klobuchar (Won by 65% in 2012) (Running in 2018) Current age: 56
Missouri: Claire McCaskill (Won by 55% in 2012) (Running in 2018) Current age: 63
Montana: Jon Tester (Won by 49% in 2012) (Running in 2018) Current age: 60
New Jersey: Bob Menendez (Won by 59% in 2012) (Intent for 2018 unknown) Current age: 63
New Mexico: Martin Heinrich (Won by 51% in 2012) (Running in 2018) Current age: 45
New York: Kirsten Gillibrand (Won by 72% in 2012) (Running in 2018) Current age: 50
North Dakota: Heidi Heitkamp (Won by 50% in 2012) (Intent for 2018 unknown) Current age: 61
Ohio: Sherrod Brown (Won by 51% in 2012) (Running in 2018) Current age: 64
Pennsylvania: Bob Casey Jr. (Won by 54% in 2012) (Running in 2018) Current age: 56
Rhode Island: Sheldon Whitehouse (Won by 64% in 2012) (Running in 2018) Current age: 61
Virginia: Tom Kaine (Won by 53% in 2012) (Running in 2018) Current age: 58
Washington: Maria Cantwell (Won by 61% in 2012) (Intent for 2018 unknown) Current age: 58
West Virginia: Joe Manchin (Won by 61% in 2012) (Running in 2018) Current age: 69
Wisconsin: Tammy Baldwin (Won by 51% in 2012) (Running in 2018) Current age: 54
Independents up for reelection in 2018:
Maine: Angus King (Won by 53% in 2012) (Running in 2018) Current age: 72
Vermont: Bernie Sanders (Won by 71% in 2012) (Running in 2018) Current age:75
12 Seats won by 55% or less (counting Indy). Seems like a lot of opportunities if Repubs are smart and Donald active (yes, I don’t doubt he will be).
add Tina Smith MN Special election
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_elections,_2018
I would love to see the weasel Little Bobby Casey fall flat on his face. He promised to carry on his Dad’s prolife legacy, but voted to continue killing babies.every chance he got. Hope Trump campaignsfor his opponent. Pennsylvania loves our President!
Feinstein has announced she’s running because, you know, we don’t have enough 90 year olds in the Senate. But remember, here deep behind enemy lines it will be the top two rats who square off in the general. She’s well thought of here. My best guess is she willvanquish the announced hack competitors and win in the general. Assuming she doesn’t die because she’s really really old.
CNN Article from August 9 2017
The 10 Senate seats most likely to switch parties in 2018
http://www.cnn.com/2017/08/09/politics/competitive-senate-races-2018-midterms/index.html
1. Nevada
Incumbent: Republican Sen. Dean Heller
It’s one of the earliest races to take shape — and it’s all bad news for Heller.
Danny Tarkanian, who has lost five campaigns over the last decade but won the GOP nomination in four of those five races, is taking on Heller in the Republican primary. And Rep. Jacky Rosen was hand-picked by Harry Reid to challenge Heller in the general election.
2. Missouri
Incumbent: Democratic Sen. Claire McCaskill
Missouri attorney general Josh Hawley is moving toward a run against McCaskill. He’s well-regarded by donors and operatives. And now that several Republicans who were widely expected to run, including Rep. Ann Wagner, have decided against entering the race, he could be looking at a clearer field.
Deepening Democrats’ concerns is that Missouri is rapidly moving rightward. Trump won the state with 57% support last year, and Sen. Roy Blunt was re-elected despite Missouri secretary of state Jason Kander running perhaps the best Democratic Senate campaign of the entire cycle.
3. Indiana
Incumbent: Democratic Sen. Joe Donnelly
Just like McCaskill benefited from Todd Akin’s now-infamous comments about “legitimate rape” in 2012, Donnelly benefitted when his Republican opponent, state treasurer Richard Mourdock, asserted in a debate that pregnancies resulting from rape are “God’s will.”
Neither of the two Republicans running against Donnelly — Reps. Luke Messer and Todd Rokita — are likely to make such a mistake in 2018.
However, this primary battle will be nasty and personal. Rokita and Messer have already called each other “unhinged.” Rokita attacked Messer for moving his family to Washington after being elected to Congress, and criticized a contract Messer’s wife has for part-time legal work for the city of Fishers.
4. West Virginia
Incumbent: Democratic Sen. Joe Manchin
If you had any doubt about this state’s heavily Republican leanings, Gov. Jim Justice erased it when he switched parties at a rally alongside Trump — who carried West Virginia with 68% of the vote — last week.
But Manchin isn’t your average Democrat.
Perhaps more than any other senator, he was helped by Trump’s victory.
5. Arizona
Incumbent: Republican Sen. Jeff Flake
Before Flake can even worry about a Democratic challenger, he has to sweat a potentially formidable primary from his own party.
6. Montana
Incumbent: Democratic Sen. Jon Tester
Tester is up for re-election in a state where Trump won 56% of the vote. So it seemed like a major pickup opportunity for Republicans — that is, until Greg Gianforte body-slammed a reporter on the eve of his special election victory in a House race.
You’re saying: Wait, what?
Here’s how it’s all connected: Gianforte was a top prospect to run for Montana governor in 2020. But after his body-slam of The Guardian’s Ben Jacobs, he’s seen politically as damaged goods. So Montana attorney general Tim Fox — who was likely to run against Tester — now has his eyes on the governor’s office instead.
7. North Dakota
Incumbent: Democratic Sen. Heidi Heitkamp
On paper, it seems Heitkamp ought to be at the very top of this list. She’s a Democrat who barely eked out a victory in 2012 running for re-election in a state where Trump won 64% of the vote.
However, Heitkamp — who hasn’t officially announced she’s running for re-election herself, but is fundraising like a candidate — has $3 million in the bank, she’s held events all across a state with a small enough population that retail politics works, and she doesn’t have a Republican opponent.
8. Wisconsin
Incumbent: Democratic Sen. Tammy Baldwin
Unseating Baldwin didn’t get any easier when Rep. Sean Duffy, perhaps Republicans’ strongest potential recruit, decided against running.
So far, Marine Corps veteran and businessman Kevin Nicholson is in the race, while state Sen. Leah Vukmir, businessman Eric Hovde and others are weighing bids of their own.
Boosting Republicans’ prospects here is a strong, battle-tested party built by Gov. Scott Walker, who has won three gubernatorial elections already.
9. Ohio
Incumbent: Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown
The well-known Brown’s populist, anti-free trade brand fits Ohio’s white working-class voters better than Hillary Clinton’s message did in 2016. But this is still a state where Trump won by 9 percentage points.
Brown is headed into a likely rematch against state treasurer Josh Mandel. Why this is a precarious race for Brown: Mandel has $3.3 million in the bank and national Republicans have shown they are willing to spend heavily on Ohio — even to back a candidate they don’t love.
10. Florida
Incumbent: Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson
This one’s all about Florida Gov. Rick Scott. In an extraordinarily expensive state, Scott — whose term as governor ends next year — could pump tens of millions of his own dollars into a race against the tough, well-known incumbent Nelson.
Scott is clearly interested in maintaining a voice in national politics. In May, he launched his “New Republican” super PAC. And Trump has lobbied Scott to run against Nelson.
The question is whether the two-term executive is interested in being just one of 100 — and the junior senator to Florida’s Marco Rubio.
If Scott enters the race, this one rockets up the list.
Honorable mention
In Pennsylvania, Democratic Sen. Bob Casey is waiting to see how the Republican field shakes out in a state Trump narrowly won in 2016. Meanwhile, Texas Sen. Ted Cruz was actually outraised by Democratic Rep. Beto O’Rourke in 2017’s second quarter — showing that, if things really break right for Democrats, O’Rourke could be an online fundraising darling headed into the fall of 2018.
I’d love to see Chris Murphy get beat, I think Connecticut might kick Murphy and a few Dems CD-2 and CD-5, with a Republican wave.