Not only is the generic party ballot a lagging indicator, but the trend favors the GOP. Other key factors also tilt Republican: the booming economy; a substantial cash advantage; Democratic party disunity and disfunction; and the salience of two winning issues — illegal immigration and Obama era government misconduct.
“key factors also tilt Republican: the booming economy; a substantial cash advantage; Democratic party disunity and disfunction; and the salience of two winning issues — illegal immigration and Obama era government misconduct.”
Well said.
I would not be surprised if the drag of the Mueller investigation is gone by the election as well. The Democratic Party scandals might turn out to be huge. We could have a Republican wave - maybe a 60 vote Senate majority.
If that happens, there is no reason not to have an epic border wall building party. It would be like: “All cement mixers, please report immediately to the border.”