Without MAGA/non traditional Trump voters motivated and excited, no R is winning PA statewide with the obvious D enthusiasm gap. I would love to say otherwise, but just like I knew Trump was winning the White House and going right up the upper Midwest/rust belt to do it, it’s just as obvious that the GOP is not going to overcome the enthusiasm gap that the D’s have without the MAGA/Non traditional R voter and the GOP has not given those people any reason to care let alone show up...
If the D’s stupidly run on impeachment officially this will motivate that group in spite of the GOP incompetence, but the entire GOP ecosphere has proven it has no idea how to motivate and hasn’t even bothered trying to talk to those voters.
November is all that matters, but I cannot lie about my assessment of the situation at present. And just as sure as I was Trump would march up through this region in 2016... I am sadly confident that short of the scenario I laid out, the GOP not win the senate or governors races in PA this fall.
Excellent analysis.
I just like to believe Lou Barletta has a really good chance at unseating Bob Casey.