Posted on 06/11/2018 5:03:44 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27
No most are not stupid. They know the wall means the survival of the country. It’s not just about one man one president. It’s about the country. He’s the only one that has a chance to save it. And without the wall it is toast. You seem to think it is only about the one election, without the wall the next president will let the flood back in.
Anyone not realizing that Trump is doing all he can do to bring the Wall to completion and working around the Congress and Democrats to work on it already, is stupid. The Wall is a symbol of determination to stop Illegalism but, by itself, it won’t do anything except make it harder to get here.
What would produce panic in the Left would be to start charging states with RICO indictments for conspiracy to violate the laws of the United States. And the private organizations devoted to Illegalism.
He doesn’t have far to go to win the pop vote. But 40 states is pushing my rosiest expectations. I’d be happy to tack on a few more (MN, NH, ME)
Excluding DC, 20 states went for the Butcheress of Benghazi.
Presuming Trump holds all the states he won in 2016 (30), I see him being able to pick up 6 at least:
CO, ME, MN, NH, NV, NM. That takes him to 36.
2 more with a lesser chance: OR, VA. That’s 38.
Now, the remaining 12 (excluding DC), will be very difficult: CA, CT, DE, HI, IL, MD, MA, NJ, NY, RI, VT, WA.
California is too radicalized and I don’t trust vote-counting there.
CT has too many rich White leftists (not impossible to overcome, but I don’t think he can bridge the gap).
DE is too dominated by New Castle/Wilmington. It’s the urban leftist RED cancer on the state. It shouldn’t even be a state. Like CT, he might get within a few points, but the only way Trump could win is if he got a large % of the Black Wilmington vote.
HI. Long ago, it used to veer into patriotic territory on occasion (voting Nixon ‘72, Reagan ‘84), but it has become very radicalized. Unless it magically goes back to past traits, I think it impossible.
IL. The RED cancer of C(r)ook County prevents the sane voting of the rest of the state unless the “R” is a crooked Combiner. They’ll move heaven and earth to assure that even if Trump got a majority of the Black vote, he’d still magically lose.
MD. Excise PG & MontCo Counties along with Bawlamer, you might get somewhere. If Trump had Gov. Hogan’s popularity, he might win, but I doubt it. Too many gubmint workers who vote Commie RED.
MA. I think Trump’s appeal with working-class Whites in the state will increase, but not enough to offset the rest. No GOP candidate for President has won a single county there since 1988.
NJ. Still too many rich leftist Whites and others here who don’t like “winning.” Difficult for Trump, not impossible.
NY. If upstate were its own state, he could win (much like downstate IL), but NYC remains the RED Marxist cancer on the state. Trump could personally deliver $1 million to every voter in the city, and they’d still vote Communist.
RI. Curiously, if Trump carried the aforementioned 8 states, RI could be the 9th. I still think it is slightly out of reach, but the performance between Zero and Hillary dropped a whopping 9%, and she got just 54% (only her husband performed worse in 1992 — even Dukakis did better in 1988). Trump carried a county there for the first time since 1984. I think he could take 3 out of 5 in 2020. But he’s got to hold down the vote in Providence in order to win as Reagan did in ‘84, and that will be as hard as Delaware. But not impossible.
VT. Too many hard-core nutters puts the state out of reach. He did carry a single rural county in the NE corner (Essex), which is the most GOP in the state. But to give you an idea of how far left the state has gone, Reagan got 70% in Essex in ‘84. Trump got 51%. It voted for Zero in ‘08 and ‘12. Dubya carried 4 counties out of 14 in 2000. He carried only Essex in 2004. Unless a mess of Berniecrats wake up out of their stupor, I expect Trump to max out around Dubya’s ‘00 performance in 2020.
WA. The Communist Black Hole of Puget Sound remains the single impediment to Trump’s winning the state, even as his working-class appeal flipped some areas that had stayed Commie Red since before FDR. Too bad we can’t gift the entirety of Puget to British Columbia. It would make WA a Republican Blue state again.
Beyond MN, NM, NV and ME-AL, I don’t know CO would be next in line, hopefully it gets back in the swing of things.
NM is a wild card, presuming that prick Johnson isn’t on the ballot again, maybe.
Poor VA has fallen so far so fast but I’d still put it well ahead of that bastard Oregon, which would follow it.
NJ was fairy close in 2004 but...dunno
CT, would be something
DE. ugh I hate DE, small little bastard, out of reach unless you dislocate your arm
Based on 2016 I’d say RI is a lot more likely than say CA or MA or MD. Fuggedabout about those, and NY and VT
WA, wawa
IL, oy, similar problem, he’ll win easily outside of Cook
HI was fairly close for Bush in 2004 but I think that ship has sailed. Nowhere to go put up but to actually carry it....
How Trump could win Hawaii might be due to what is occurring as I type this, the North Korean situation. That could engender enough goodwill to Trump that he could swing it. Without the threat of Nork nukes, even Hawaiian leftists would have to give him credit for eliminating that danger.
I would love to see that as well.
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